--- title: "Wings of Victory case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Wings of Victory ($20.41) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 5 items with odds, observed 92.81% over 42 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dc7 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Wings of Victory](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dc7) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Wings of Victory A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dc7?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dc7?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dc7) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dc7?window=all) Price · $20.41 · 34,003 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $18.37 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.81% · 42 openings, odds method Variance · 17.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 40 openings · below min 30 days · 42 openings · below min since tracking started · 42 openings · below min -0.5% 113.3% 227.0% **Small sample.** 42 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dc7?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dc7?window=7d) | 40 | 97.34% ±129.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dc7) | 42 | 92.81% ±126.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dc7?window=all) | 42 | 92.81% ±126.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 42 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Winged Defuser sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-winged-defuser) | 1 in 100 | $594 989,337 BUX | 32.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $516 858,839 BUX | 42.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [AUG \| Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) | 15.0% | $20.28 33,786 BUX | 16.6% | 7 | 6.3 | 1.11× | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Light Box (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-light-box-factory-new) | 26.0% | $5.37 8,946 BUX | 7.6% | 9 | 10.9 | 0.82× | | [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 56.5% | $0.46 766 BUX | 1.4% | 25 | 23.7 | 1.05× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Winged Defuser sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-winged-defuser) Hidden $20.41 34,003 BUX $594 989,337 BUX 29.10x 2026-11-05 17:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dc7) [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) Hidden $20.41 34,003 BUX $0.46 766 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-10 19:47 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) Hidden $20.41 34,003 BUX $0.46 766 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-10 19:47 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) Hidden $20.41 34,003 BUX $0.46 766 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-10 19:47 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-light-box-factory-new) [user-62df08](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-62df08) $20.41 34,003 BUX $5.37 8,946 BUX 0.26x 2026-11-10 19:47 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) Hidden $20.41 34,003 BUX $0.46 766 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-light-box-factory-new) Hidden $20.41 34,003 BUX $5.37 8,946 BUX 0.26x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) Hidden $20.41 34,003 BUX $0.46 766 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) [user-62df08](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-62df08) $20.41 34,003 BUX $0.46 766 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) Hidden $20.41 34,003 BUX $0.46 766 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-08 00:06 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) Hidden $20.41 34,003 BUX $0.46 766 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-08 00:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $20.41 | 90.00% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed High Grade 1.0% covert 1.5% mil spec 15.0% Mil Spec Grade 26.0% restricted 56.5% best hit $594 (29.10x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt