---
title: "The Void case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Void ($51.14) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 79.24% over 428 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dcb
rendered: 2026-11-12T06:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [The Void](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dcb)

# [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · The Void

A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dcb?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dcb?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dcb) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dcb?window=all)

Price · $51.14 · 85,203 BUX

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $46.03 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.24% · 428 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 28.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 74.76% ±18.23 348 openings

7 days · 79.43% ±16.52 424 openings

30 days · 79.24% ±16.44 428 openings

since tracking started · 79.24% ±16.44 428 openings

56.0% 76.3% 96.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dcb?window=24h) | 348 | 74.76% ±18.2 | −1.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dcb?window=7d) | 424 | 79.43% ±16.5 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dcb) | 428 | 79.24% ±16.4 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dcb?window=all) | 428 | 79.24% ±16.4 | −1.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 428 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,194 1,988,520 BUX | 13.0% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $150 249,116 BUX | 9.7% | 12 | 12.8 | 0.93× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $101 168,399 BUX | 8.8% | 14 | 17.1 | 0.82× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 10.0% | $83.52 139,144 BUX | 18.1% | 40 | 42.8 | 0.93× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 11.0% | $74.58 124,250 BUX | 17.8% | 42 | 47.1 | 0.89× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 28.5% | $38.29 63,791 BUX | 23.7% | 124 | 122.0 | 1.02× |
| [SG 553 \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $19.73 32,870 BUX | 6.4% | 60 | 64.2 | 0.93× |
| [Lieutenant 'Tree Hugger' Farlow \| SWAT agent · exceptional](https://gambatracker.com/items/lieutenant-tree-hugger-farlow-swat) | 12.0% | $6.45 10,745 BUX | 1.7% | 57 | 51.4 | 1.11× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $2.75 4,581 BUX | 0.6% | 53 | 42.8 | 1.24× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Elite 1.6 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-elite-1-6-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1.03 1,715 BUX | 0.1% | 14 | 12.8 | 1.09× |
| [XM1014 \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $0.79 1,316 BUX | 0.1% | 11 | 12.8 | 0.86× |

Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $51.14 85,203 BUX $1,194 1,988,520 BUX 23.34x 2026-11-11 00:21 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4602ecb2b8af8a9dcb)

[MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) Hidden $51.14 85,203 BUX $2.75 4,581 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $51.14 85,203 BUX $38.29 63,791 BUX 0.75x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC

[SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) Hidden $51.14 85,203 BUX $19.73 32,870 BUX 0.39x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) [Kronerkongen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Kronerkongen) $51.14 85,203 BUX $83.52 139,144 BUX 1.63x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) Hidden $51.14 85,203 BUX $2.75 4,581 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) Hidden $51.14 85,203 BUX $83.52 139,144 BUX 1.63x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC

[Lieutenant 'Tree Hugger' Farlow | SWAT agent · exceptional](https://gambatracker.com/items/lieutenant-tree-hugger-farlow-swat) Hidden $51.14 85,203 BUX $6.45 10,745 BUX 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC

[StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Elite 1.6 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-elite-1-6-factory-new) [Kronerkongen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Kronerkongen) $51.14 85,203 BUX $1.03 1,715 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) Hidden $51.14 85,203 BUX $2.75 4,581 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $51.14 85,203 BUX $38.29 63,791 BUX 0.75x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $51.14 | 90.00% | 11 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Covert 10.5% gold 3.0% covert 15.0% Classified 28.5% #4b69ff 15.0% exceptional 12.0% mil spec 10.0% Mil Spec Grade 3.0% Restricted 3.0% best hit $1,194 (23.34x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt