---
title: "Brickwork Battalion case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Brickwork Battalion ($18.52) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 75.83% over 31 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dd3
rendered: 2026-11-12T07:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Brickwork Battalion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dd3)

# [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Brickwork Battalion

A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dd3?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dd3?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dd3) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dd3?window=all)

Price · $18.52 · 30,861 BUX

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $16.67 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 75.83% · 31 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 19 openings · below min

30 days · 31 openings · below min

since tracking started · 31 openings · below min

21.5% 89.5% 157.5%

**Small sample.** 31 openings and 4.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dd3?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dd3?window=7d) | 19 | 89.45% ±67.5 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dd3) | 31 | 75.83% ±52.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dd3?window=all) | 31 | 75.83% ±52.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 31 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $204 339,780 BUX | 12.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Night (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-night-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $97.55 162,518 BUX | 14.6% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $80.05 133,363 BUX | 16.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $41.30 68,805 BUX | 17.3% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Orange DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $11.20 18,659 BUX | 6.7% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.65× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $10.42 17,359 BUX | 6.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $9.51 15,843 BUX | 5.7% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-battle-scarred) | 28.0% | $6.65 11,078 BUX | 11.2% | 19 | 8.7 | 2.19× |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) | 28.0% | $5.45 9,079 BUX | 9.2% | 4 | 8.7 | 0.46× |

Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dd3)

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Briefing (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.52 30,861 BUX $6.65 11,078 BUX 0.36x 2026-11-10 19:42 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.52 30,861 BUX $97.55 162,518 BUX 5.27x 2026-11-10 19:42 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.52 30,861 BUX $11.20 18,659 BUX 0.60x 2026-11-10 19:42 UTC

[Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) [kdeen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/kdeen) $18.52 30,861 BUX $5.45 9,079 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-10 19:42 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Briefing (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.52 30,861 BUX $6.65 11,078 BUX 0.36x 2026-11-09 18:52 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Briefing (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.52 30,861 BUX $6.65 11,078 BUX 0.36x 2026-11-09 18:52 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.52 30,861 BUX $9.51 15,843 BUX 0.51x 2026-11-09 18:52 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-night-battle-scarred) [kdeen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/kdeen) $18.52 30,861 BUX $97.55 162,518 BUX 5.27x 2026-11-09 18:52 UTC

[Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) Hidden $18.52 30,861 BUX $5.45 9,079 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-09 18:50 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Briefing (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.52 30,861 BUX $6.65 11,078 BUX 0.36x 2026-11-09 18:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $18.52 | 90.00% | 9 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.0% Covert 2.5% Mil Spec Grade 41.5% restricted 35.0% Restricted 10.0% Classified 10.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
