--- title: "Immortal Essence case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Immortal Essence ($12.00) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 77.33% over 336 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9de7 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Immortal Essence](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9de7) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Immortal Essence A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9de7?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9de7?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9de7) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9de7?window=all) Price · $12.00 · 19,994 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $10.80 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 77.33% · 336 openings, odds method Variance · 10.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 76.67% ±35.51 328 openings 30 days · 77.33% ±35.09 336 openings since tracking started · 77.33% ±35.09 336 openings -0.5% 198.8% 398.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9de7?window=24h) | 4 | 75.62% ±321.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9de7?window=7d) | 328 | 76.67% ±35.5 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9de7) | 336 | 77.33% ±35.1 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9de7?window=all) | 336 | 77.33% ±35.1 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 336 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| ESL Skull (Foil) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-esl-skull-foil-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333 | $437 727,408 BUX | 12.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.99× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $372 620,251 BUX | 24.1% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.43× | | [Sticker \| Immortals (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-immortals-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 25 | $30.28 50,446 BUX | 11.2% | 11 | 13.4 | 0.82× | | [AUG \| Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) | 10.0% | $20.28 33,786 BUX | 18.8% | 34 | 33.6 | 1.01× | | [MP7 \| Skulls (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $19.52 32,520 BUX | 18.1% | 36 | 33.6 | 1.07× | | [Nova \| Rising Skull (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-well-worn) | 15.0% | $7.75 12,911 BUX | 10.8% | 53 | 50.4 | 1.05× | | [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-field-tested) | 20.0% | $1.28 2,132 BUX | 2.4% | 60 | 67.2 | 0.89× | | [Sticker \| Lord of Skulls (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lord-of-skulls-holo) | 40.0% | $0.69 1,149 BUX | 2.6% | 140 | 134.4 | 1.04× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9de7) [Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-well-worn) Hidden $12.00 19,994 BUX $7.75 12,911 BUX 0.65x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-well-worn) Hidden $12.00 19,994 BUX $7.75 12,911 BUX 0.65x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-field-tested) Hidden $12.00 19,994 BUX $1.28 2,132 BUX 0.11x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [MP7 | Skulls (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-minimal-wear) [Meow](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Meow) $12.00 19,994 BUX $19.52 32,520 BUX 1.63x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [MP7 | Skulls (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.00 19,994 BUX $19.52 32,520 BUX 1.63x 2026-11-11 03:53 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) Hidden $12.00 19,994 BUX $372 620,251 BUX 31.02x 2026-11-11 03:53 UTC [Sticker | Lord of Skulls (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lord-of-skulls-holo) Hidden $12.00 19,994 BUX $0.69 1,149 BUX 0.06x 2026-11-11 03:53 UTC [R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-field-tested) [Kronerkongen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Kronerkongen) $12.00 19,994 BUX $1.28 2,132 BUX 0.11x 2026-11-11 03:53 UTC [Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-well-worn) Hidden $12.00 19,994 BUX $7.75 12,911 BUX 0.65x 2026-11-11 03:51 UTC [Sticker | Lord of Skulls (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lord-of-skulls-holo) Hidden $12.00 19,994 BUX $0.69 1,149 BUX 0.06x 2026-11-11 03:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $12.00 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Exotic 4.3% extraordinary 0.7% mil spec 10.0% blue 10.0% Restricted 15.0% classified 20.0% Remarkable 40.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt