--- title: "Death Awaits case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Death Awaits ($5.43) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 95.93% over 293 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dec rendered: 2026-11-12T05:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Death Awaits](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dec) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Death Awaits A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dec?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dec?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dec) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dec?window=all) Price · $5.43 · 9,048 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $4.89 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 95.93% · 293 openings, odds method Variance · 5.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 86.73% ±32.25 185 openings 30 days · 95.93% ±25.62 293 openings since tracking started · 95.93% ±25.62 293 openings -0.5% 114.3% 229.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dec?window=24h) | 6 | 49.28% ±179.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dec?window=7d) | 185 | 86.73% ±32.2 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dec) | 293 | 95.93% ±25.6 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dec?window=all) | 293 | 95.93% ±25.6 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 293 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Skeleton Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife) | 1 in 10,000 | $749 1,248,267 BUX | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 101 | $60.25 100,376 BUX | 12.2% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.03× | | [Sticker \| DeadFox (Gold) \| London 2018 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-deadfox-gold-london-2018) | 1 in 50 | $53.21 88,647 BUX | 21.8% | 8 | 5.9 | 1.37× | | [MP7 \| Skulls (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $19.52 32,520 BUX | 12.0% | 9 | 8.8 | 1.02× | | [P90 \| Death Grip (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $9.86 16,426 BUX | 12.1% | 17 | 17.6 | 0.97× | | [StatTrak™ Nova \| Ghost Camo (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-ghost-camo-well-worn) | 20.0% | $4.16 6,930 BUX | 17.0% | 64 | 58.6 | 1.09× | | [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-factory-new) | 24.0% | $2.49 4,148 BUX | 12.2% | 58 | 70.3 | 0.82× | | [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) | 44.0% | $1.24 2,065 BUX | 11.2% | 134 | 128.9 | 1.04× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9dec) [MAG-7 | Monster Call (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) Hidden $5.43 9,048 BUX $1.24 2,065 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-12 00:42 UTC [P90 | Death Grip (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-factory-new) [Mulli](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Mulli) $5.43 9,048 BUX $9.86 16,426 BUX 1.82x 2026-11-12 00:42 UTC [MAG-7 | Monster Call (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) Hidden $5.43 9,048 BUX $1.24 2,065 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC [MAG-7 | Monster Call (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) [Štozaxuinia](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/%C5%A0tozaxuinia) $5.43 9,048 BUX $1.24 2,065 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC [MAG-7 | Monster Call (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) Hidden $5.43 9,048 BUX $1.24 2,065 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-11 11:57 UTC [MAG-7 | Monster Call (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) [Štozaxuinia](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/%C5%A0tozaxuinia) $5.43 9,048 BUX $1.24 2,065 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-11 11:57 UTC [MAG-7 | Monster Call (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) Hidden $5.43 9,048 BUX $1.24 2,065 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-10 19:25 UTC [MAG-7 | Monster Call (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) Hidden $5.43 9,048 BUX $1.24 2,065 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-10 19:25 UTC [MAG-7 | Monster Call (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) Hidden $5.43 9,048 BUX $1.24 2,065 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-10 19:25 UTC [MAG-7 | Monster Call (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) [makarass](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/makarass) $5.43 9,048 BUX $1.24 2,065 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-10 19:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $5.43 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% classified 1.0% Extraordinary 2.0% blue 3.0% restricted 30.0% Mil Spec Grade 20.0% Restricted 44.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt