--- title: "The Essence of Love case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Essence of Love ($9.01) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 78.46% over 660 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ded rendered: 2026-11-12T06:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [The Essence of Love](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ded) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · The Essence of Love A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ded?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ded?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ded) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ded?window=all) Price · $9.01 · 15,008 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $8.11 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.46% · 660 openings, odds method Variance · 12.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 28 openings · below min 7 days · 72.42% ±29.80 529 openings 30 days · 78.46% ±26.68 660 openings since tracking started · 78.46% ±26.68 660 openings -0.5% 84.0% 168.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ded?window=24h) | 28 | 38.25% ±129.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ded?window=7d) | 529 | 72.42% ±29.8 | −1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ded) | 660 | 78.46% ±26.7 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ded?window=all) | 660 | 78.46% ±26.7 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 660 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $3,048 5,077,484 BUX | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $282 469,212 BUX | 17.4% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.61× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $281 468,612 BUX | 17.3% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.61× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $55.96 93,229 BUX | 20.7% | 19 | 19.8 | 0.96× | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $38.89 64,790 BUX | 24.0% | 37 | 33.0 | 1.12× | | [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-kiss-love-field-tested) | 10.0% | $4.20 6,997 BUX | 5.2% | 51 | 66.0 | 0.77× | | [Sticker \| Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) | 30.0% | $1.99 3,315 BUX | 7.4% | 199 | 198.0 | 1.01× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Broken Heart (Blood Red) graffiti · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-broken-heart-blood-red) | 51.0% | $1.22 2,032 BUX | 7.7% | 350 | 336.6 | 1.04× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ded) [Sticker | Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) Hidden $9.01 15,008 BUX $1.99 3,315 BUX 0.22x 2026-11-11 23:56 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Broken Heart (Blood Red) graffiti · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-broken-heart-blood-red) Hidden $9.01 15,008 BUX $1.22 2,032 BUX 0.14x 2026-11-11 23:56 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Broken Heart (Blood Red) graffiti · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-broken-heart-blood-red) Hidden $9.01 15,008 BUX $1.22 2,032 BUX 0.14x 2026-11-11 23:56 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Broken Heart (Blood Red) graffiti · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-broken-heart-blood-red) [HALAMADRID](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/HALAMADRID) $9.01 15,008 BUX $1.22 2,032 BUX 0.14x 2026-11-11 23:56 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Broken Heart (Blood Red) graffiti · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-broken-heart-blood-red) Hidden $9.01 15,008 BUX $1.22 2,032 BUX 0.14x 2026-11-11 21:31 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Broken Heart (Blood Red) graffiti · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-broken-heart-blood-red) Hidden $9.01 15,008 BUX $1.22 2,032 BUX 0.14x 2026-11-11 21:31 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Broken Heart (Blood Red) graffiti · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-broken-heart-blood-red) Hidden $9.01 15,008 BUX $1.22 2,032 BUX 0.14x 2026-11-11 21:31 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-kiss-love-field-tested) [kdeen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/kdeen) $9.01 15,008 BUX $4.20 6,997 BUX 0.47x 2026-11-11 21:31 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Broken Heart (Blood Red) graffiti · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-broken-heart-blood-red) Hidden $9.01 15,008 BUX $1.22 2,032 BUX 0.14x 2026-11-11 16:07 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Broken Heart (Blood Red) graffiti · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-broken-heart-blood-red) Hidden $9.01 15,008 BUX $1.22 2,032 BUX 0.14x 2026-11-11 16:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $9.01 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% extraordinary 3.5% rare 0.5% covert 5.0% Legendary 10.0% #8847ff 30.0% base 51.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt