--- title: "Blizzard Bounty case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Blizzard Bounty ($5.04) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 8 items with odds, observed 92.78% over 764 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df6 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Blizzard Bounty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df6) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Blizzard Bounty A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df6?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df6?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df6) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df6?window=all) Price · $5.04 · 8,390 BUX Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $4.53 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.78% · 764 openings, odds method Variance · 13.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 100.61% ±28.37 629 openings 30 days · 92.78% ±25.74 764 openings since tracking started · 92.78% ±25.74 764 openings -0.5% 191.3% 383.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df6?window=24h) | 4 | 26.41% ±355.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df6?window=7d) | 629 | 100.61% ±28.4 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df6) | 764 | 92.78% ±25.7 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df6?window=all) | 764 | 92.78% ±25.7 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 764 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $236 393,292 BUX | 26.0% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.52× | | [G3SG1 \| Arctic Camo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $62.72 104,491 BUX | 20.8% | 20 | 11.5 | 1.75× | | [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $16.50 27,489 BUX | 18.2% | 37 | 38.2 | 0.97× | | [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $4.58 7,630 BUX | 7.1% | 61 | 53.5 | 1.14× | | [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 11.0% | $2.87 4,781 BUX | 7.0% | 85 | 84.0 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| Snowfall (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snowfall-glitter) | 25.0% | $1.36 2,265 BUX | 7.5% | 200 | 191.0 | 1.05× | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) | 25.0% | $1.32 2,199 BUX | 7.3% | 178 | 191.0 | 0.93× | | [Sticker \| Freeze (Lenticular) sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-freeze-lenticular) | 25.0% | $1.12 1,865 BUX | 6.2% | 181 | 191.0 | 0.95× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df6) [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $5.04 8,390 BUX $1.32 2,199 BUX 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $5.04 8,390 BUX $1.32 2,199 BUX 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $5.04 8,390 BUX $1.32 2,199 BUX 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [Sticker | Snowfall (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snowfall-glitter) [tenshi](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/tenshi) $5.04 8,390 BUX $1.36 2,265 BUX 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [Sticker | Snowfall (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snowfall-glitter) Hidden $5.04 8,390 BUX $1.36 2,265 BUX 0.27x 2026-11-11 06:50 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) Hidden $5.04 8,390 BUX $16.50 27,489 BUX 3.28x 2026-11-11 06:50 UTC [Sticker | Freeze (Lenticular) sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-freeze-lenticular) Hidden $5.04 8,390 BUX $1.12 1,865 BUX 0.22x 2026-11-11 06:50 UTC [Sticker | Snowfall (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snowfall-glitter) [nFGwau](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/nFGwau) $5.04 8,390 BUX $1.36 2,265 BUX 0.27x 2026-11-11 06:50 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) Hidden $5.04 8,390 BUX $1.32 2,199 BUX 0.26x 2026-11-10 23:38 UTC [Sticker | Snowfall (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-snowfall-glitter) Hidden $5.04 8,390 BUX $1.36 2,265 BUX 0.27x 2026-11-10 23:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $5.04 | 89.99% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.5% industrial 1.5% Legendary 5.0% restricted 7.0% Restricted 11.0% remarkable 25.0% mil spec 25.0% Extraordinary 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt