--- title: "Elegant Eminence case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Elegant Eminence ($16.91) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 86.53% over 1,328 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df8 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Elegant Eminence](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df8) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Elegant Eminence A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df8?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df8?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df8) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df8?window=all) Price · $16.91 · 28,170 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $15.22 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.53% · 1,328 openings, odds method Variance · 4.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 69.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 80.85% ±41.81 104 openings 7 days · 85.98% ±13.22 1,040 openings 30 days · 86.53% ±11.70 1,328 openings since tracking started · 86.53% ±11.70 1,328 openings 38.5% 81.0% 123.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df8?window=24h) | 104 | 80.85% ±41.8 | −0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df8?window=7d) | 1,040 | 85.98% ±13.2 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df8) | 1,328 | 86.53% ±11.7 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df8?window=all) | 1,328 | 86.53% ±11.7 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,328 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,027 3,377,265 BUX | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $381 635,379 BUX | 5.0% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.13× | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $193 321,404 BUX | 6.3% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.75× | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $122 203,701 BUX | 16.1% | 23 | 26.6 | 0.87× | | [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $81.83 136,328 BUX | 13.4% | 33 | 33.2 | 0.99× | | [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) | 10.3% | $30.10 50,146 BUX | 20.4% | 150 | 136.7 | 1.10× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 15.0% | $29.98 49,946 BUX | 29.6% | 190 | 199.2 | 0.95× | | [Sticker \| Lotus (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lotus-glitter) | 69.5% | $1.73 2,882 BUX | 7.9% | 924 | 923.0 | 1.00× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9df8) [Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) Hidden $16.91 28,170 BUX $81.83 136,328 BUX 4.84x 2026-11-12 08:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.91 28,170 BUX $30.10 50,146 BUX 1.78x 2026-11-12 08:10 UTC [Sticker | Lotus (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lotus-glitter) Hidden $16.91 28,170 BUX $1.73 2,882 BUX 0.10x 2026-11-12 08:10 UTC [Sticker | Lotus (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lotus-glitter) [komnuu](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/komnuu) $16.91 28,170 BUX $1.73 2,882 BUX 0.10x 2026-11-12 08:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.91 28,170 BUX $30.10 50,146 BUX 1.78x 2026-11-12 08:10 UTC [Sticker | Lotus (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lotus-glitter) Hidden $16.91 28,170 BUX $1.73 2,882 BUX 0.10x 2026-11-12 08:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.91 28,170 BUX $30.10 50,146 BUX 1.78x 2026-11-12 08:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) [komnuu](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/komnuu) $16.91 28,170 BUX $30.10 50,146 BUX 1.78x 2026-11-12 08:10 UTC [Sticker | Lotus (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lotus-glitter) Hidden $16.91 28,170 BUX $1.73 2,882 BUX 0.10x 2026-11-12 08:09 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) Hidden $16.91 28,170 BUX $29.98 49,946 BUX 1.77x 2026-11-12 08:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $16.91 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.5% Covert 15.7% Classified 10.3% remarkable 69.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt