--- title: "Laughter Loadout case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Laughter Loadout ($6.73) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 83.68% over 237 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e00 rendered: 2026-11-12T11:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Laughter Loadout](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e00) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Laughter Loadout A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e00?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e00?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e00) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e00?window=all) Price · $6.73 · 11,216 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $6.06 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.68% · 237 openings, odds method Variance · 2.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 86 openings · below min 30 days · 83.68% ±21.55 237 openings since tracking started · 83.68% ±21.55 237 openings -0.5% 80.5% 161.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e00?window=24h) | 8 | 43.44% ±117.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e00?window=7d) | 86 | 72.45% ±35.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e00) | 237 | 83.68% ±21.6 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e00?window=all) | 237 | 83.68% ±21.6 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 237 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $101 168,399 BUX | 3.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Nitro (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-nitro-battle-scarred) | 1 in 125 | $75.06 125,049 BUX | 9.9% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× | | [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $55.25 92,046 BUX | 9.1% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.27× | | [USP-S \| Orion (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $37.90 63,141 BUX | 15.6% | 6 | 5.9 | 1.01× | | [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $22.15 36,901 BUX | 20.1% | 8 | 13.0 | 0.61× | | [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $3.49 5,814 BUX | 14.4% | 67 | 59.3 | 1.13× | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) | 25.0% | $3.48 5,797 BUX | 14.4% | 54 | 59.3 | 0.91× | | [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 40.0% | $1.99 3,315 BUX | 13.1% | 97 | 94.8 | 1.02× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e00) [Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.73 11,216 BUX $3.49 5,814 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-11 21:16 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) Hidden $6.73 11,216 BUX $3.48 5,797 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-11 21:16 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $6.73 11,216 BUX $1.99 3,315 BUX 0.30x 2026-11-11 21:16 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) [kdeen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/kdeen) $6.73 11,216 BUX $3.48 5,797 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-11 21:16 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $6.73 11,216 BUX $1.99 3,315 BUX 0.30x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC [Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.73 11,216 BUX $3.49 5,814 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC [Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.73 11,216 BUX $3.49 5,814 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) [kdeen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/kdeen) $6.73 11,216 BUX $1.99 3,315 BUX 0.30x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC [Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.73 11,216 BUX $3.49 5,814 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-10 19:24 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $6.73 11,216 BUX $1.99 3,315 BUX 0.30x 2026-11-10 19:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $6.73 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.2% restricted 25.8% classified 3.5% #d32ee6 5.5% #8847ff 25.0% industrial 40.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt