--- title: "Voyager's Vault case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Voyager's Vault ($13.91) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 67.66% over 92 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e04 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Voyager's Vault](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e04) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Voyager's Vault A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e04?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e04?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e04) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e04?window=all) Price · $13.91 · 23,166 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $12.51 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 67.66% · 92 openings, odds method Variance · 5.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 65 openings · below min 30 days · 92 openings · below min since tracking started · 92 openings · below min 13.0% 69.5% 126.0% **Small sample.** 92 openings and 9.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e04?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e04?window=7d) | 65 | 69.34% ±55.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e04) | 92 | 67.66% ±47.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e04?window=all) | 92 | 67.66% ±47.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 92 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $423 704,518 BUX | 6.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $335 557,776 BUX | 8.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $116 194,022 BUX | 14.0% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.45× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $86.57 144,225 BUX | 13.8% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.54× | | [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $38.60 64,307 BUX | 18.5% | 2 | 5.5 | 0.36× | | [SSG 08 \| Sea Calico (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-well-worn) | 10.0% | $15.25 25,406 BUX | 12.2% | 8 | 9.2 | 0.87× | | [SG 553 \| Traveler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-traveler-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $7.25 12,078 BUX | 17.4% | 33 | 27.6 | 1.20× | | [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-factory-new) | 50.0% | $2.34 3,898 BUX | 9.3% | 46 | 46.0 | 1.00× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e04) [P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) Hidden $13.91 23,166 BUX $116 194,022 BUX 8.38x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-factory-new) Hidden $13.91 23,166 BUX $2.34 3,898 BUX 0.17x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-factory-new) Hidden $13.91 23,166 BUX $2.34 3,898 BUX 0.17x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-factory-new) [admatron](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/admatron) $13.91 23,166 BUX $2.34 3,898 BUX 0.17x 2026-11-10 19:05 UTC [G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-factory-new) Hidden $13.91 23,166 BUX $2.34 3,898 BUX 0.17x 2026-11-10 01:26 UTC [G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-factory-new) Hidden $13.91 23,166 BUX $2.34 3,898 BUX 0.17x 2026-11-10 01:26 UTC [SG 553 | Traveler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-traveler-minimal-wear) Hidden $13.91 23,166 BUX $7.25 12,078 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-10 01:26 UTC [G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-factory-new) [fajfussss](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/fajfussss) $13.91 23,166 BUX $2.34 3,898 BUX 0.17x 2026-11-10 01:26 UTC [G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-factory-new) Hidden $13.91 23,166 BUX $2.34 3,898 BUX 0.17x 2026-11-09 21:39 UTC [SG 553 | Traveler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-traveler-minimal-wear) Hidden $13.91 23,166 BUX $7.25 12,078 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-09 21:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $13.91 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 2.5% classified 1.5% pink 6.0% restricted 60.0% Industrial Grade 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt