--- title: "Trippy Treasures case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Trippy Treasures ($5.96) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 85.06% over 839 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e18 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Trippy Treasures](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e18) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Trippy Treasures A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e18?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e18?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e18) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e18?window=all) Price · $5.96 · 9,936 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $5.37 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.06% · 839 openings, odds method Variance · 3.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 111.63% ±31.19 156 openings 7 days · 84.93% ±17.61 489 openings 30 days · 85.06% ±13.45 839 openings since tracking started · 85.06% ±13.45 839 openings 66.5% 105.0% 143.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e18?window=24h) | 156 | 111.63% ±31.2 | +1.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e18?window=7d) | 489 | 84.93% ±17.6 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e18) | 839 | 85.06% ±13.4 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e18?window=all) | 839 | 85.06% ±13.4 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 839 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $92.11 153,455 BUX | 17.2% | 8 | 8.4 | 0.95× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $45.45 75,719 BUX | 16.9% | 13 | 16.8 | 0.77× | | [D Squadron Officer \| NZSAS agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/d-squadron-officer-nzsas) | 1 in 33 | $27.35 45,565 BUX | 15.3% | 23 | 25.2 | 0.91× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $13.08 21,791 BUX | 12.2% | 30 | 42.0 | 0.72× | | [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $10.92 18,192 BUX | 12.2% | 59 | 50.3 | 1.17× | | [AWP \| POP AWP (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-factory-new) | 12.0% | $5.54 9,229 BUX | 12.4% | 107 | 100.7 | 1.06× | | [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 16.0% | $2.65 4,414 BUX | 7.9% | 156 | 134.2 | 1.16× | | [Dreams & Nightmares Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreams-and-nightmares-case) | 55.0% | $0.58 966 BUX | 5.9% | 443 | 461.5 | 0.96× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e18) [Dreams & Nightmares Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreams-and-nightmares-case) Hidden $5.96 9,936 BUX $0.58 966 BUX 0.10x 2026-11-12 08:02 UTC [Dreams & Nightmares Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreams-and-nightmares-case) Hidden $5.96 9,936 BUX $0.58 966 BUX 0.10x 2026-11-12 08:02 UTC [Dreams & Nightmares Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreams-and-nightmares-case) Hidden $5.96 9,936 BUX $0.58 966 BUX 0.10x 2026-11-12 08:02 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.96 9,936 BUX $2.65 4,414 BUX 0.44x 2026-11-12 00:02 UTC [D Squadron Officer | NZSAS agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/d-squadron-officer-nzsas) Hidden $5.96 9,936 BUX $27.35 45,565 BUX 4.59x 2026-11-12 00:02 UTC [Dreams & Nightmares Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreams-and-nightmares-case) [HALAMADRID](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/HALAMADRID) $5.96 9,936 BUX $0.58 966 BUX 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:02 UTC [Dreams & Nightmares Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreams-and-nightmares-case) Hidden $5.96 9,936 BUX $0.58 966 BUX 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:02 UTC [Dreams & Nightmares Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreams-and-nightmares-case) Hidden $5.96 9,936 BUX $0.58 966 BUX 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:02 UTC [AWP | POP AWP (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-factory-new) [HALAMADRID](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/HALAMADRID) $5.96 9,936 BUX $5.54 9,229 BUX 0.93x 2026-11-12 00:02 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.96 9,936 BUX $2.65 4,414 BUX 0.44x 2026-11-12 00:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $5.96 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Classified 1.0% Covert 2.0% distinguished 3.0% classified 5.0% Ancient 6.0% Restricted 12.0% Legendary 16.0% Base Grade 55.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt