--- title: "Eternal Legends case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Eternal Legends ($13.39) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 101.46% over 184 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e1c rendered: 2026-11-12T09:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Eternal Legends](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e1c) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Eternal Legends A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e1c?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e1c?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e1c) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e1c?window=all) Price · $13.39 · 22,300 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $12.05 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 101.46% · 184 openings, odds method Variance · 5.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.9% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 109.62% ±44.71 112 openings 7 days · 97.84% ±36.50 168 openings 30 days · 101.46% ±34.88 184 openings since tracking started · 101.46% ±34.88 184 openings 60.5% 107.8% 155.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e1c?window=24h) | 112 | 109.62% ±44.7 | +0.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e1c?window=7d) | 168 | 97.84% ±36.5 | +0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e1c) | 184 | 101.46% ±34.9 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e1c?window=all) | 184 | 101.46% ±34.9 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 184 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $556 926,196 BUX | 9.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $164 273,823 BUX | 16.4% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× | | [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $42.86 71,404 BUX | 16.0% | 12 | 8.3 | 1.45× | | [XM1014 \| Ancient Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ancient-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $35.93 59,859 BUX | 14.9% | 7 | 9.2 | 0.76× | | [Sticker \| Immortals (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-immortals-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 18 | $30.28 50,446 BUX | 13.8% | 12 | 10.1 | 1.19× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $23.72 39,517 BUX | 11.8% | 10 | 11.0 | 0.91× | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) | 12.5% | $8.08 13,461 BUX | 8.4% | 27 | 23.0 | 1.17× | | [Sticker \| Eternal Fire (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eternal-fire-gold-antwerp-2022) | 13.0% | $7.48 12,461 BUX | 8.1% | 22 | 23.9 | 0.92× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Dead Now (Shark White) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-dead-now-shark-white) | 52.1% | $0.32 533 BUX | 1.4% | 92 | 95.9 | 0.96× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [SSG 08 | Death Strike (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-well-worn) Hidden $13.39 22,300 BUX $556 926,196 BUX 41.53x 2026-11-11 11:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e1c) [Sealed Graffiti | Dead Now (Shark White) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-dead-now-shark-white) Hidden $13.39 22,300 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [Sticker | Eternal Fire (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eternal-fire-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $13.39 22,300 BUX $7.48 12,461 BUX 0.56x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Dead Now (Shark White) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-dead-now-shark-white) Hidden $13.39 22,300 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [Sticker | Eternal Fire (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eternal-fire-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $13.39 22,300 BUX $7.48 12,461 BUX 0.56x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ancient-lore-field-tested) Hidden $13.39 22,300 BUX $35.93 59,859 BUX 2.68x 2026-11-11 11:41 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Dead Now (Shark White) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-dead-now-shark-white) Hidden $13.39 22,300 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:41 UTC [Sticker | Eternal Fire (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eternal-fire-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $13.39 22,300 BUX $7.48 12,461 BUX 0.56x 2026-11-11 11:41 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Dead Now (Shark White) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-dead-now-shark-white) [Kronerkongen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Kronerkongen) $13.39 22,300 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:41 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Dead Now (Shark White) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-dead-now-shark-white) Hidden $13.39 22,300 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:40 UTC [Sticker | Eternal Fire (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eternal-fire-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $13.39 22,300 BUX $7.48 12,461 BUX 0.56x 2026-11-11 11:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $13.39 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Classified 0.2% Covert 1.2% Restricted 9.5% Exotic 5.5% classified 6.0% Mil Spec Grade 12.5% Extraordinary 13.0% Base Grade 52.1% best hit $556 (41.53x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt