--- title: "Crystal Clear case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Crystal Clear ($12.70) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 40.18% over 96 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3b rendered: 2026-11-12T10:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Crystal Clear](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3b) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Crystal Clear A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3b?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3b?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3b) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3b?window=all) Price · $12.70 · 21,164 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $11.43 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 40.18% · 96 openings, odds method Variance · 14.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 76 openings · below min 30 days · 96 openings · below min since tracking started · 96 openings · below min -0.5% 116.8% 234.0% **Small sample.** 96 openings and 1.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3b?window=24h) | 16 | 48.48% ±184.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3b?window=7d) | 76 | 40.89% ±84.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3b) | 96 | 40.18% ±75.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3b?window=all) | 96 | 40.18% ±75.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 96 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $564 939,890 BUX | 24.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $231 384,429 BUX | 30.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $12.87 21,441 BUX | 9.0% | 7 | 7.7 | 0.91× | | [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $9.16 15,260 BUX | 8.0% | 7 | 9.6 | 0.73× | | [Sticker \| Infinite Diamond (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-infinite-diamond-holo) | 20.0% | $5.33 8,879 BUX | 9.3% | 20 | 19.2 | 1.04× | | [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) | 20.0% | $5.18 8,629 BUX | 9.1% | 24 | 19.2 | 1.25× | | [Sticker \| Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) | 40.0% | $2.76 4,598 BUX | 9.7% | 38 | 38.4 | 0.99× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3b) [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) Hidden $12.70 21,164 BUX $5.18 8,629 BUX 0.41x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $12.70 21,164 BUX $2.76 4,598 BUX 0.22x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC [Sticker | Infinite Diamond (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-infinite-diamond-holo) Hidden $12.70 21,164 BUX $5.33 8,879 BUX 0.42x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC [Sticker | Infinite Diamond (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-infinite-diamond-holo) [kdeen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/kdeen) $12.70 21,164 BUX $5.33 8,879 BUX 0.42x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) Hidden $12.70 21,164 BUX $5.18 8,629 BUX 0.41x 2026-11-11 21:31 UTC [AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.70 21,164 BUX $9.16 15,260 BUX 0.72x 2026-11-11 21:31 UTC [Sticker | Infinite Diamond (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-infinite-diamond-holo) Hidden $12.70 21,164 BUX $5.33 8,879 BUX 0.42x 2026-11-11 21:31 UTC [USP-S | Royal Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-minimal-wear) [kdeen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/kdeen) $12.70 21,164 BUX $12.87 21,441 BUX 1.01x 2026-11-11 21:31 UTC [AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.70 21,164 BUX $9.16 15,260 BUX 0.72x 2026-11-11 20:56 UTC [USP-S | Royal Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.70 21,164 BUX $12.87 21,441 BUX 1.01x 2026-11-11 20:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $12.70 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.5% extraordinary 1.5% industrial 8.0% restricted 30.0% Remarkable 20.0% remarkable 40.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt