--- title: "Everything is Blue case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Everything is Blue ($1,122.68) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 18 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3c rendered: 2026-11-12T10:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Everything is Blue](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3c) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Everything is Blue A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3c?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3c?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3c) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3c?window=all) Price · $1,122.68 · 1,870,393 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,010.42 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 9.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3c?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3c?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3c) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3c?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 100 | $25.9K 43,110,965 BUX | 25.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $12.5K 20,816,969 BUX | 24.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $10.6K 17,662,981 BUX | 26.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20 | $2,670 4,447,720 BUX | 13.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $783 1,303,645 BUX | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $671 1,118,452 BUX | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $440 732,623 BUX | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $348 579,884 BUX | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $249 415,383 BUX | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $178 295,881 BUX | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $171 284,369 BUX | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $160 266,826 BUX | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $115 191,673 BUX | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $56.28 93,762 BUX | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 16.0% | $44.71 74,486 BUX | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 10.0% | $9.06 15,093 BUX | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $2.35 3,915 BUX | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $1.12 1,865 BUX | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3c) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $1,123 | 90.00% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed base 1.0% extraordinary 3.0% covert 8.5% high 5.0% sunny 6.0% #ffd700 4.0% Covert 1.0% classified 5.5% industrial 16.0% restricted 30.0% mil spec 20.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt