--- title: "Hemorrhage Heirlooms case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Hemorrhage Heirlooms ($22.76) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 12.53% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3d rendered: 2026-11-12T09:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Hemorrhage Heirlooms](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3d) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Hemorrhage Heirlooms A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3d?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3d?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3d) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3d?window=all) Price · $22.76 · 37,917 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $20.48 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 12.53% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 22.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 65.8% 132.0% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3d?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3d?window=7d) | 4 | 12.53% ±118.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3d) | 4 | 12.53% ±118.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3d?window=all) | 4 | 12.53% ±118.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Ruby-Infused Wine Goblet other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ruby-infused-wine-goblet) | 1 in 250 | $350 583,100 BUX | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Radiance Ring (Ruby) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/radiance-ring-ruby) | 1 in 63 | $90.00 149,940 BUX | 7.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Grail (Garnet) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/grail-garnet) | 20.0% | $44.00 73,304 BUX | 43.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Gauntlet (Garnet) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/gauntlet-garnet) | 28.0% | $24.00 39,984 BUX | 32.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [Shards Of Ruby (Gemstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shards-of-ruby-gemstone) | 15.0% | $7.50 12,500 BUX | 5.5% | 4 | 0.6 | — | | [Shards Of Ruby (Gemstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shards-of-ruby-gemstone) | 35.0% | $2.85 4,750 BUX | 4.9% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.86× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e3d) [Shards Of Ruby (Gemstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shards-of-ruby-gemstone) Hidden $22.76 37,917 BUX $2.85 4,750 BUX 0.13x 2026-11-07 16:56 UTC [Shards Of Ruby (Gemstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shards-of-ruby-gemstone) Hidden $22.76 37,917 BUX $2.85 4,750 BUX 0.13x 2026-11-07 16:56 UTC [Shards Of Ruby (Gemstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shards-of-ruby-gemstone) Hidden $22.76 37,917 BUX $2.85 4,750 BUX 0.13x 2026-11-07 16:56 UTC [Shards Of Ruby (Gemstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shards-of-ruby-gemstone) [user-6b253c](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-6b253c) $22.76 37,917 BUX $2.85 4,750 BUX 0.13x 2026-11-07 16:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $22.76 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 50.4% Classified 1.6% Restricted 48.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt