--- title: "Eternal Bronze case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Eternal Bronze ($6.23) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 77.44% over 103 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e40 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Eternal Bronze](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e40) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Eternal Bronze A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e40?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e40?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e40) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e40?window=all) Price · $6.23 · 10,379 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $5.61 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 77.44% · 103 openings, odds method Variance · 10.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 63 openings · below min 30 days · 77.44% ±61.98 103 openings since tracking started · 77.44% ±61.98 103 openings -0.5% 128.8% 258.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e40?window=24h) | 12 | 75.61% ±181.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e40?window=7d) | 63 | 74.83% ±79.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e40) | 103 | 77.44% ±62.0 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e40?window=all) | 103 | 77.44% ±62.0 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 103 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Bars Of Bronze (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bars-of-bronze-metal) | 1 in 200 | $279 464,800 BUX | 24.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Bronze Selfie Stick other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-selfie-stick) | 1 in 18 | $18.00 29,988 BUX | 17.7% | 10 | 5.7 | 1.77× | | [Medallion (Bronze) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/medallion-bronze) | 1 in 11 | $13.33 22,200 BUX | 21.4% | 8 | 9.3 | 0.86× | | [Bronze-Bound Bookend other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-bound-bookend) | 12.5% | $7.00 11,662 BUX | 15.6% | 16 | 12.9 | 1.24× | | [Bronze Bloom other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-bloom) | 15.0% | $2.70 4,498 BUX | 7.2% | 9 | 15.4 | 0.58× | | [Budget Bookmark (Bronze) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/budget-bookmark-bronze) | 27.5% | $1.50 2,499 BUX | 7.4% | 20 | 28.3 | 0.71× | | [Bronze Ornament other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-ornament) | 30.0% | $1.10 1,833 BUX | 5.9% | 40 | 30.9 | 1.29× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e40) [Bronze-Bound Bookend other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-bound-bookend) Hidden $6.23 10,379 BUX $7.00 11,662 BUX 1.12x 2026-11-11 20:58 UTC [Bronze Ornament other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-ornament) Hidden $6.23 10,379 BUX $1.10 1,833 BUX 0.18x 2026-11-11 20:58 UTC [Budget Bookmark (Bronze) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/budget-bookmark-bronze) Hidden $6.23 10,379 BUX $1.50 2,499 BUX 0.24x 2026-11-11 20:58 UTC [Budget Bookmark (Bronze) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/budget-bookmark-bronze) [kdeen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/kdeen) $6.23 10,379 BUX $1.50 2,499 BUX 0.24x 2026-11-11 20:58 UTC [Bronze Selfie Stick other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-selfie-stick) Hidden $6.23 10,379 BUX $18.00 29,988 BUX 2.89x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Medallion (Bronze) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/medallion-bronze) Hidden $6.23 10,379 BUX $13.33 22,200 BUX 2.14x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Bronze Ornament other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-ornament) Hidden $6.23 10,379 BUX $1.10 1,833 BUX 0.18x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Bronze Ornament other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-ornament) [Miglekk](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Miglekk) $6.23 10,379 BUX $1.10 1,833 BUX 0.18x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Bronze Ornament other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-ornament) Hidden $6.23 10,379 BUX $1.10 1,833 BUX 0.18x 2026-11-11 14:29 UTC [Bronze Bloom other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-bloom) Hidden $6.23 10,379 BUX $2.70 4,498 BUX 0.43x 2026-11-11 14:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $6.23 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Mil Spec Grade 22.0% Restricted 5.5% Industrial Grade 72.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt