--- title: "Azure Assault case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Azure Assault ($65.75) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 97.40% over 24 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e41 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Azure Assault](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e41) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Azure Assault A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e41?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e41?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e41) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e41?window=all) Price · $65.75 · 109,540 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $59.18 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.40% · 24 openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 50.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min 0.5% 72.2% 144.0% **Small sample.** 24 openings and 12.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e41?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e41?window=7d) | 12 | 66.29% ±65.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e41) | 24 | 97.40% ±46.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e41?window=all) | 24 | 97.40% ±46.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Precious Stone of Sapphire (Gemstone) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/precious-stone-of-sapphire-gemstone) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,637 2,726,875 BUX | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Labyrinth (Lapis Lazuli) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/labyrinth-lapis-lazuli) | 1 in 111 | $537 894,642 BUX | 8.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Precious Stone of Zircon (Quartz) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/precious-stone-of-zircon-quartz) | 1 in 67 | $257 428,208 BUX | 6.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Coffee Mug (Sapphire) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/coffee-mug-sapphire) | 1 in 13 | $130 216,580 BUX | 16.5% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [Crown (Cobalt) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crown-cobalt) | 40.0% | $44.00 73,304 BUX | 29.7% | 11 | 9.6 | 1.15× | | [Chalice (Cobalt) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/chalice-cobalt) | 50.0% | $43.00 71,638 BUX | 36.3% | 12 | 12.0 | 1.00× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Labyrinth (Lapis Lazuli) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/labyrinth-lapis-lazuli) Hidden $65.75 109,540 BUX $537 894,642 BUX 8.17x 2026-11-03 23:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e41) [Chalice (Cobalt) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/chalice-cobalt) Hidden $65.75 109,540 BUX $43.00 71,638 BUX 0.65x 2026-11-10 06:55 UTC [Crown (Cobalt) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crown-cobalt) Hidden $65.75 109,540 BUX $44.00 73,304 BUX 0.67x 2026-11-10 06:55 UTC [Crown (Cobalt) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crown-cobalt) Hidden $65.75 109,540 BUX $44.00 73,304 BUX 0.67x 2026-11-10 06:55 UTC [Chalice (Cobalt) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/chalice-cobalt) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $65.75 109,540 BUX $43.00 71,638 BUX 0.65x 2026-11-10 06:55 UTC [Crown (Cobalt) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crown-cobalt) Hidden $65.75 109,540 BUX $44.00 73,304 BUX 0.67x 2026-11-08 00:03 UTC [Chalice (Cobalt) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/chalice-cobalt) Hidden $65.75 109,540 BUX $43.00 71,638 BUX 0.65x 2026-11-08 00:03 UTC [Chalice (Cobalt) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/chalice-cobalt) Hidden $65.75 109,540 BUX $43.00 71,638 BUX 0.65x 2026-11-08 00:03 UTC [Crown (Cobalt) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crown-cobalt) Hidden $65.75 109,540 BUX $44.00 73,304 BUX 0.67x 2026-11-08 00:03 UTC [Chalice (Cobalt) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/chalice-cobalt) Hidden $65.75 109,540 BUX $43.00 71,638 BUX 0.65x 2026-11-07 20:31 UTC [Crown (Cobalt) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crown-cobalt) Hidden $65.75 109,540 BUX $44.00 73,304 BUX 0.67x 2026-11-07 20:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $65.75 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Classified 1.6% Restricted 0.9% Industrial Grade 47.5% Consumer Grade 50.0% best hit $537 (8.17x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt