--- title: "Knight's Honor case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Knight's Honor ($328.21) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 83.89% over 16 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e44 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Knight's Honor](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e44) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Knight's Honor A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e44?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e44?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e44) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e44?window=all) Price · $328.21 · 546,791 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $295.39 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.89% · 16 openings, odds method Variance · 4.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 16 openings · below min 30 days · 16 openings · below min since tracking started · 16 openings · below min -0.5% 117.5% 235.5% **Small sample.** 16 openings and 1.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e44?window=24h) | 8 | 94.12% ±140.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e44?window=7d) | 16 | 83.89% ±99.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e44) | 16 | 83.89% ±99.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e44?window=all) | 16 | 83.89% ±99.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Anvil (Adamantium) other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/anvil-adamantium) | 1 in 1,000 | $9,999 16,658,334 BUX | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Precious Stone of Diamond (Gemstone) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/precious-stone-of-diamond-gemstone) | 1 in 200 | $6,002 10,000,000 BUX | 10.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Lots Of Coins Of Mithril (Metal) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-mithril-metal) | 1 in 42 | $2,840 4,730,607 BUX | 23.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Musical Flute (Mythril) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/musical-flute-mythril) | 1 in 25 | $599 997,934 BUX | 8.1% | 3 | 0.6 | — | | [Astral Amulet (Alexandrite) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/astral-amulet-alexandrite) | 1 in 20 | $450 749,700 BUX | 7.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Palladium Palace other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/palladium-palace) | 1 in 18 | $445 741,370 BUX | 8.3% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [Bar Of Chromium (Metal) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/bar-of-chromium-metal) | 22.5% | $282 470,120 BUX | 21.5% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× | | [Golden Key other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/golden-key) | 60.0% | $88.00 146,608 BUX | 17.9% | 8 | 9.6 | 0.83× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Musical Flute (Mythril) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/musical-flute-mythril) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $328 546,791 BUX $599 997,934 BUX 1.83x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Musical Flute (Mythril) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/musical-flute-mythril) Hidden $328 546,791 BUX $599 997,934 BUX 1.83x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [Musical Flute (Mythril) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/musical-flute-mythril) Hidden $328 546,791 BUX $599 997,934 BUX 1.83x 2026-11-06 08:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e44) [Golden Key other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/golden-key) Hidden $328 546,791 BUX $88.00 146,608 BUX 0.27x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Golden Key other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/golden-key) Hidden $328 546,791 BUX $88.00 146,608 BUX 0.27x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Golden Key other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/golden-key) Hidden $328 546,791 BUX $88.00 146,608 BUX 0.27x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Musical Flute (Mythril) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/musical-flute-mythril) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $328 546,791 BUX $599 997,934 BUX 1.83x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Bar Of Chromium (Metal) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/bar-of-chromium-metal) Hidden $328 546,791 BUX $282 470,120 BUX 0.86x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [Musical Flute (Mythril) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/musical-flute-mythril) Hidden $328 546,791 BUX $599 997,934 BUX 1.83x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [Palladium Palace other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/palladium-palace) Hidden $328 546,791 BUX $445 741,370 BUX 1.36x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [Bar Of Chromium (Metal) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/bar-of-chromium-metal) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $328 546,791 BUX $282 470,120 BUX 0.86x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [Golden Key other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/golden-key) Hidden $328 546,791 BUX $88.00 146,608 BUX 0.27x 2026-11-06 08:38 UTC [Golden Key other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/golden-key) Hidden $328 546,791 BUX $88.00 146,608 BUX 0.27x 2026-11-06 08:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $328 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Exceedingly Rare 0.1% Special 2.9% Restricted 9.0% Covert 5.5% Classified 82.5% best hit $599 (1.83x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt