--- title: "Whispered Secrets case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Whispered Secrets ($221.81) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e46 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Whispered Secrets](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e46) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Whispered Secrets A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e46?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e46?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e46) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e46?window=all) Price · $221.81 · 369,537 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $199.63 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 4.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e46?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e46?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e46) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e46?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Rod of Ragnarok (Rhodium) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/rod-of-ragnarok-rhodium) | 1 in 200 | $3,300 5,497,800 BUX | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Bars Of Nickel (Metal) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/bars-of-nickel-metal) | 1 in 67 | $2,813 4,687,200 BUX | 21.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Oculus of Olympus (Opal) other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/oculus-of-olympus-opal) | 1 in 50 | $1,800 2,998,800 BUX | 18.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Pegasus Prism (Pearl) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pegasus-prism-pearl) | 1 in 17 | $700 1,166,200 BUX | 21.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Cube (Tungsten) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cube-tungsten) | 17.5% | $199 331,534 BUX | 17.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Block Of Iron (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/block-of-iron-metal) | 15.0% | $167 278,184 BUX | 12.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Lots Of Coins Of Aluminium (Metal) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-aluminium-metal) | 57.5% | $5.32 8,856 BUX | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e46) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $222 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Special 0.5% Classified 1.5% Exceedingly Rare 2.0% Covert 6.0% Restricted 17.5% Mil Spec Grade 15.0% Consumer Grade 57.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt