--- title: "Secrets of Stealth case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Secrets of Stealth ($314.79) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 4.77% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e4b rendered: 2026-11-12T07:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Secrets of Stealth](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e4b) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Secrets of Stealth A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e4b?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e4b?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e4b) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e4b?window=all) Price · $314.79 · 524,444 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $283.31 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 4.77% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 10.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 164.5% 329.5% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e4b?window=24h) | 4 | 4.77% ±324.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e4b?window=7d) | 4 | 4.77% ±324.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e4b) | 4 | 4.77% ±324.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e4b?window=all) | 4 | 4.77% ±324.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Pyramid of Power (Palladium) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/pyramid-of-power-palladium) | 1 in 100 | $8,995 14,985,670 BUX | 31.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Secret Agent's Uranium Coin (Uranium) other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/secret-agents-uranium-coin-uranium) | 1 in 33 | $3,200 5,331,200 BUX | 33.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Pieces Of Bamboo (Wood) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pieces-of-bamboo-wood) | 1 in 13 | $749 1,248,000 BUX | 19.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Origami Swan (Tungsten) other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/origami-swan-tungsten) | 12.5% | $220 366,520 BUX | 9.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [1oz Silver bullet (Silver) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/1oz-silver-bullet-silver) | 17.5% | $25.00 41,650 BUX | 1.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Silver Serpent other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-serpent) | 18.5% | $21.00 34,986 BUX | 1.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Dagger (Diamond) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dagger-diamond) | 19.5% | $15.50 25,823 BUX | 1.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Arrow (Amethyst) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/arrow-amethyst) | 20.5% | $11.70 19,492 BUX | 0.8% | 3 | 0.8 | — | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e4b) [Arrow (Amethyst) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/arrow-amethyst) Hidden $315 524,444 BUX $11.70 19,492 BUX 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [Arrow (Amethyst) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/arrow-amethyst) Hidden $315 524,444 BUX $11.70 19,492 BUX 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [1oz Silver bullet (Silver) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/1oz-silver-bullet-silver) Hidden $315 524,444 BUX $25.00 41,650 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [Arrow (Amethyst) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/arrow-amethyst) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $315 524,444 BUX $11.70 19,492 BUX 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $315 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Special 1.0% Exceedingly Rare 15.5% Classified 7.5% Mil Spec Grade 55.5% Consumer Grade 20.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt