--- title: "Exploration Extinction case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Exploration Extinction ($417.44) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e57 rendered: 2026-11-12T09:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Exploration Extinction](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e57) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Exploration Extinction A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e57?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e57?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e57) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e57?window=all) Price · $417.44 · 695,459 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $375.70 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 15.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 21 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e57?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e57?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e57) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e57?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Emerald Enigma other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/emerald-enigma) | 1 in 10,000 | $125K 208,250,000 BUX | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tourmaline Tablet other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tourmaline-tablet) | 1 in 2,000 | $35K 58,310,000 BUX | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Zirconium Zenith Ziggurat other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/zirconium-zenith-ziggurat) | 1 in 227 | $5,000 8,330,000 BUX | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Precious Stone of Emerald (Gemstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/precious-stone-of-emerald-gemstone) | 1 in 100 | $3,495 5,823,125 BUX | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rod of Ragnarok (Rhodium) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/rod-of-ragnarok-rhodium) | 1 in 67 | $3,300 5,497,800 BUX | 13.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Secret Agent's Uranium Coin (Uranium) other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/secret-agents-uranium-coin-uranium) | 1 in 57 | $3,200 5,331,200 BUX | 14.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Halo of Hyperion (Heliodor) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-of-hyperion-heliodor) | 1 in 19 | $1,000 1,666,000 BUX | 14.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Bar Of Chromium (Metal) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/bar-of-chromium-metal) | 15.0% | $335 557,480 BUX | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Pieces Of Bamboo (Wood) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pieces-of-bamboo-wood) | 25.0% | $180 300,000 BUX | 12.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rocks Of Aventurine (Silica Mineral) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/rocks-of-aventurine-silica-mineral) | 50.0% | $71.07 118,400 BUX | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e57) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $417 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Special 7.2% Exceedingly Rare 1.8% Covert 1.0% Classified 40.0% Mil Spec Grade 50.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt