--- title: "Spooky Secrets case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Spooky Secrets ($22.89) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 92.15% over 54 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5a rendered: 2026-11-12T08:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Spooky Secrets](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5a) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Spooky Secrets A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5a?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5a?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5a) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5a?window=all) Price · $22.89 · 38,128 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $20.60 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.15% · 54 openings, odds method Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 28 openings · below min 30 days · 54 openings · below min since tracking started · 54 openings · below min 35.0% 201.0% 367.0% **Small sample.** 54 openings and 10.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5a?window=24h) | 4 | 201.00% ±165.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5a?window=7d) | 28 | 106.89% ±62.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5a) | 54 | 92.15% ±45.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5a?window=all) | 54 | 92.15% ±45.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 54 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Titan Totem (Titanium) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/titan-totem-titanium) | 1 in 100 | $300 499,800 BUX | 14.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Oracle Orb (Obsidian) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/oracle-orb-obsidian) | 1 in 50 | $165 274,890 BUX | 16.0% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.78× | | [Playing Cards (Titanium) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/playing-cards-titanium) | 1 in 33 | $98.00 163,268 BUX | 14.3% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× | | [Gauntlet (Garnet) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/gauntlet-garnet) | 14.0% | $24.00 39,984 BUX | 16.3% | 6 | 7.6 | 0.79× | | [Copper Kettle other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/copper-kettle) | 15.0% | $18.98 31,621 BUX | 13.8% | 6 | 8.1 | 0.74× | | [Amalgam (Amber) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/amalgam-amber) | 17.5% | $12.00 19,992 BUX | 10.2% | 7 | 9.5 | 0.74× | | [Runestone (Ruby) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/runestone-ruby) | 20.0% | $7.00 11,662 BUX | 6.8% | 18 | 10.8 | 1.67× | | [Relic (Ruby) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/relic-ruby) | 27.5% | $6.00 9,996 BUX | 8.0% | 13 | 14.9 | 0.88× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5a) [Oracle Orb (Obsidian) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/oracle-orb-obsidian) Hidden $22.89 38,128 BUX $165 274,890 BUX 7.21x 2026-11-11 23:38 UTC [Relic (Ruby) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/relic-ruby) Hidden $22.89 38,128 BUX $6.00 9,996 BUX 0.26x 2026-11-11 23:38 UTC [Relic (Ruby) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/relic-ruby) Hidden $22.89 38,128 BUX $6.00 9,996 BUX 0.26x 2026-11-11 23:38 UTC [Runestone (Ruby) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/runestone-ruby) Hidden $22.89 38,128 BUX $7.00 11,662 BUX 0.31x 2026-11-11 23:38 UTC [Runestone (Ruby) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/runestone-ruby) Hidden $22.89 38,128 BUX $7.00 11,662 BUX 0.31x 2026-11-10 19:35 UTC [Amalgam (Amber) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/amalgam-amber) Hidden $22.89 38,128 BUX $12.00 19,992 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-10 19:35 UTC [Runestone (Ruby) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/runestone-ruby) Hidden $22.89 38,128 BUX $7.00 11,662 BUX 0.31x 2026-11-10 19:35 UTC [Amalgam (Amber) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/amalgam-amber) [makarass](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/makarass) $22.89 38,128 BUX $12.00 19,992 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-10 19:35 UTC [Amalgam (Amber) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/amalgam-amber) Hidden $22.89 38,128 BUX $12.00 19,992 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-09 16:00 UTC [Gauntlet (Garnet) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/gauntlet-garnet) Hidden $22.89 38,128 BUX $24.00 39,984 BUX 1.05x 2026-11-09 16:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $22.89 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Special 1.0% Restricted 31.0% Covert 3.0% Mil Spec Grade 17.5% Industrial Grade 47.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt