--- title: "Voltage Vendetta case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Voltage Vendetta ($74.05) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 90.43% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5b rendered: 2026-11-12T08:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Voltage Vendetta](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5b) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Voltage Vendetta A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5b?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5b?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5b) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5b?window=all) Price · $74.05 · 123,362 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $66.64 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.43% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 37.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 79.3% 159.0% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 4.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5b?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5b?window=7d) | 4 | 61.54% ±96.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5b) | 12 | 90.43% ±55.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5b?window=all) | 12 | 90.43% ±55.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Prism (Platinum) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/prism-platinum) | 1 in 100 | $599 997,934 BUX | 9.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Mystical Monolith (Moonstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mystical-monolith-moonstone) | 1 in 25 | $240 399,840 BUX | 14.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Lots Of Nodules Of Moonstone (Silica Mineral) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-nodules-of-moonstone-silica-mineral) | 1 in 20 | $151 251,550 BUX | 11.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Sunburst Scepter (Sapphire) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sunburst-scepter-sapphire) | 1 in 13 | $135 224,910 BUX | 15.2% | 3 | 0.9 | — | | [Block Of Iron (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/block-of-iron-metal) | 20.0% | $49.14 81,864 BUX | 14.7% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.67× | | [Ninja Star Ornament (Titanium) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ninja-star-ornament-titanium) | 20.0% | $44.00 73,304 BUX | 13.2% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× | | [Arcanum (Agate) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/arcanum-agate) | 20.0% | $40.00 66,640 BUX | 12.0% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [Cipher (Citrine) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cipher-citrine) | 22.5% | $30.00 49,980 BUX | 10.1% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5b) [Block Of Iron (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/block-of-iron-metal) Hidden $74.05 123,362 BUX $49.14 81,864 BUX 0.66x 2026-11-08 09:51 UTC [Ninja Star Ornament (Titanium) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ninja-star-ornament-titanium) Hidden $74.05 123,362 BUX $44.00 73,304 BUX 0.59x 2026-11-08 09:51 UTC [Arcanum (Agate) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/arcanum-agate) Hidden $74.05 123,362 BUX $40.00 66,640 BUX 0.54x 2026-11-08 09:51 UTC [Block Of Iron (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/block-of-iron-metal) [komnuu](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/komnuu) $74.05 123,362 BUX $49.14 81,864 BUX 0.66x 2026-11-08 09:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $74.05 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Classified 21.0% Covert 9.0% Mil Spec Grade 50.0% Restricted 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt