--- title: "Mortal Coil case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Mortal Coil ($362.96) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 33.80% over 8 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5c rendered: 2026-11-12T08:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Mortal Coil](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5c) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Mortal Coil A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5c?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5c?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5c) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5c?window=all) Price · $362.96 · 604,696 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $326.67 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 33.80% · 8 openings, odds method Variance · 36.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min -0.5% 225.0% 450.5% **Small sample.** 8 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5c?window=24h) | 8 | 33.80% ±415.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5c?window=7d) | 8 | 33.80% ±415.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5c) | 8 | 33.80% ±415.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5c?window=all) | 8 | 33.80% ±415.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Effigy (Emerald) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/effigy-emerald) | 1 in 10,000 | $200K 333,200,000 BUX | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Pyramid of Power (Palladium) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/pyramid-of-power-palladium) | 1 in 204 | $8,995 14,985,670 BUX | 13.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Zirconium Zenith Ziggurat other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/zirconium-zenith-ziggurat) | 1 in 67 | $5,000 8,330,000 BUX | 23.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Jewel of Jotunheim (Jade) other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/jewel-of-jotunheim-jade) | 1 in 13 | $850 1,416,100 BUX | 20.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Titan Totem (Titanium) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/titan-totem-titanium) | 12.0% | $300 499,800 BUX | 11.0% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [Mystical Monolith (Moonstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mystical-monolith-moonstone) | 13.0% | $240 399,840 BUX | 9.6% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.96× | | [Oracle Orb (Obsidian) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/oracle-orb-obsidian) | 15.0% | $165 274,890 BUX | 7.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [Piece Of Bamboo (Wood) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/piece-of-bamboo-wood) | 50.0% | $55.28 92,100 BUX | 8.5% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.25× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5c) [Piece Of Bamboo (Wood) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/piece-of-bamboo-wood) Hidden $363 604,696 BUX $55.28 92,100 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [Piece Of Bamboo (Wood) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/piece-of-bamboo-wood) Hidden $363 604,696 BUX $55.28 92,100 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [Piece Of Bamboo (Wood) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/piece-of-bamboo-wood) Hidden $363 604,696 BUX $55.28 92,100 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [Titan Totem (Titanium) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/titan-totem-titanium) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $363 604,696 BUX $300 499,800 BUX 0.83x 2026-11-11 14:28 UTC [Piece Of Bamboo (Wood) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/piece-of-bamboo-wood) Hidden $363 604,696 BUX $55.28 92,100 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [Oracle Orb (Obsidian) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/oracle-orb-obsidian) Hidden $363 604,696 BUX $165 274,890 BUX 0.45x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [Piece Of Bamboo (Wood) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/piece-of-bamboo-wood) Hidden $363 604,696 BUX $55.28 92,100 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [Mystical Monolith (Moonstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mystical-monolith-moonstone) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $363 604,696 BUX $240 399,840 BUX 0.66x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $363 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Special 14.0% Exceedingly Rare 8.0% Covert 13.0% Restricted 15.0% Classified 50.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt