--- title: "Warlords Relics case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Warlords Relics ($298.21) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 90.37% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5e rendered: 2026-11-12T07:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Warlords Relics](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5e) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Warlords Relics A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5e?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5e?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5e) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5e?window=all) Price · $298.21 · 496,821 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $268.39 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.37% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 56.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 413.5% 827.5% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5e?window=24h) | 4 | 90.37% ±736.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5e?window=7d) | 4 | 90.37% ±736.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5e) | 4 | 90.37% ±736.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5e?window=all) | 4 | 90.37% ±736.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Bars Of Mithril (Metal) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/bars-of-mithril-metal) | 1 in 1,000 | $70.4K 117,286,400 BUX | 26.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Miniature Mythril Shield (Mythril) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/miniature-mythril-shield-mythril) | 1 in 15 | $999 1,664,334 BUX | 24.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Ruby-Encrusted Dagger other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ruby-encrusted-dagger) | 1 in 14 | $770 1,282,820 BUX | 20.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Chef's knife (Adamantium) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/chefs-knife-adamantium) | 1 in 11 | $549 914,634 BUX | 18.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Sunburst Scepter (Sapphire) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sunburst-scepter-sapphire) | 11.5% | $135 224,910 BUX | 5.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Heliodor Helm other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/heliodor-helm) | 14.0% | $27.00 44,982 BUX | 1.4% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [1oz Silver bullet (Silver) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/1oz-silver-bullet-silver) | 14.0% | $25.00 41,650 BUX | 1.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Gauntlet (Garnet) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/gauntlet-garnet) | 14.0% | $24.00 39,984 BUX | 1.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Soldier Toy (Lead) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/soldier-toy-lead) | 23.6% | $7.00 11,662 BUX | 0.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Miniature Mythril Shield (Mythril) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/miniature-mythril-shield-mythril) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $298 496,821 BUX $999 1,664,334 BUX 3.35x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e5e) [Heliodor Helm other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/heliodor-helm) Hidden $298 496,821 BUX $27.00 44,982 BUX 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [Heliodor Helm other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/heliodor-helm) Hidden $298 496,821 BUX $27.00 44,982 BUX 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [1oz Silver bullet (Silver) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/1oz-silver-bullet-silver) Hidden $298 496,821 BUX $25.00 41,650 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC [Miniature Mythril Shield (Mythril) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/miniature-mythril-shield-mythril) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $298 496,821 BUX $999 1,664,334 BUX 3.35x 2026-11-11 14:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $298 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Special 0.1% Classified 6.5% Exceedingly Rare 7.2% Restricted 23.0% Mil Spec Grade 49.1% Consumer Grade 14.0% best hit $999 (3.35x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt