--- title: "Echoes of Pain case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Echoes of Pain ($39.14) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 47.11% over 18 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e64 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Echoes of Pain](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e64) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Echoes of Pain A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e64?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e64?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e64) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e64?window=all) Price · $39.14 · 65,214 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $35.23 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 47.11% · 18 openings, odds method Variance · 3.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 87.0% 174.5% **Small sample.** 18 openings and 3.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e64?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e64?window=7d) | 8 | 44.83% ±128.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e64) | 18 | 47.11% ±85.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e64?window=all) | 18 | 47.11% ±85.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Precious Stone of Ruby (Gemstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/precious-stone-of-ruby-gemstone) | 1 in 200 | $797 1,327,750 BUX | 11.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Ruby-Infused Wine Goblet other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ruby-infused-wine-goblet) | 1 in 67 | $350 583,100 BUX | 14.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Radiance Ring (Ruby) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/radiance-ring-ruby) | 1 in 13 | $90.00 149,940 BUX | 20.4% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× | | [Wire Sculpture (Copper) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/wire-sculpture-copper) | 10.0% | $69.00 114,954 BUX | 19.6% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [Grail (Garnet) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/grail-garnet) | 15.0% | $44.00 73,304 BUX | 18.7% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.74× | | [Gauntlet (Garnet) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/gauntlet-garnet) | 20.0% | $24.00 39,984 BUX | 13.6% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.67× | | [Grains (Garnet) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/grains-garnet) | 45.0% | $1.10 1,833 BUX | 1.4% | 9 | 8.1 | 1.11× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e64) [Grains (Garnet) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/grains-garnet) Hidden $39.14 65,214 BUX $1.10 1,833 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC [Gauntlet (Garnet) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/gauntlet-garnet) Hidden $39.14 65,214 BUX $24.00 39,984 BUX 0.61x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC [Grail (Garnet) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/grail-garnet) Hidden $39.14 65,214 BUX $44.00 73,304 BUX 1.12x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC [Grains (Garnet) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/grains-garnet) [admatron](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/admatron) $39.14 65,214 BUX $1.10 1,833 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC [Grail (Garnet) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/grail-garnet) Hidden $39.14 65,214 BUX $44.00 73,304 BUX 1.12x 2026-11-10 18:40 UTC [Grains (Garnet) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/grains-garnet) Hidden $39.14 65,214 BUX $1.10 1,833 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-10 18:40 UTC [Gauntlet (Garnet) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/gauntlet-garnet) Hidden $39.14 65,214 BUX $24.00 39,984 BUX 0.61x 2026-11-10 18:40 UTC [Grains (Garnet) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/grains-garnet) [admatron](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/admatron) $39.14 65,214 BUX $1.10 1,833 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-10 18:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $39.14 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 12.0% Classified 8.0% Restricted 35.0% Consumer Grade 45.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt