--- title: "Shrouded in Green case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Shrouded in Green ($10.31) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 102.17% over 173 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e68 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Shrouded in Green](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e68) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Shrouded in Green A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e68?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e68?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e68) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e68?window=all) Price · $10.31 · 17,184 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $9.28 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.17% · 173 openings, odds method Variance · 12.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 119.66% ±60.24 134 openings 30 days · 102.17% ±53.01 173 openings since tracking started · 102.17% ±53.01 173 openings -0.5% 225.5% 451.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e68?window=24h) | 8 | 204.50% ±246.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e68?window=7d) | 134 | 119.66% ±60.2 | +1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e68) | 173 | 102.17% ±53.0 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e68?window=all) | 173 | 102.17% ±53.0 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 173 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Secret Agent's Uranium Coin (Uranium) other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/secret-agents-uranium-coin-uranium) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,200 5,331,200 BUX | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Vintage Uranium Glass Vase (Uranium) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/vintage-uranium-glass-vase-uranium) | 1 in 50 | $80.00 133,280 BUX | 17.1% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.87× | | [Dice (Tungsten) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dice-tungsten) | 1 in 33 | $77.00 128,282 BUX | 24.9% | 8 | 5.2 | 1.54× | | [Zen Garden (Zirconium) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/zen-garden-zirconium) | 1 in 14 | $28.00 46,648 BUX | 21.1% | 16 | 12.1 | 1.32× | | [Radiant Rhodium Ring (Rhodium) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/radiant-rhodium-ring-rhodium) | 1 in 13 | $24.00 39,984 BUX | 20.7% | 14 | 13.8 | 1.01× | | [Silver Sunflower other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-sunflower) | 20.0% | $3.25 5,415 BUX | 7.0% | 28 | 34.6 | 0.81× | | [Pebble (Peridot) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pebble-peridot) | 30.0% | $0.90 1,499 BUX | 2.9% | 54 | 51.9 | 1.04× | | [Lots Of Parts of Granite (Rock) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-parts-of-granite-rock) | 30.0% | $0.87 1,452 BUX | 2.8% | 50 | 51.9 | 0.96× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e68) [Silver Sunflower other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-sunflower) Hidden $10.31 17,184 BUX $3.25 5,415 BUX 0.32x 2026-11-12 03:12 UTC [Silver Sunflower other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-sunflower) Hidden $10.31 17,184 BUX $3.25 5,415 BUX 0.32x 2026-11-12 03:12 UTC [Dice (Tungsten) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dice-tungsten) Hidden $10.31 17,184 BUX $77.00 128,282 BUX 7.47x 2026-11-12 03:12 UTC [Lots Of Parts of Granite (Rock) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-parts-of-granite-rock) [Puzamah](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Puzamah) $10.31 17,184 BUX $0.87 1,452 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-12 03:12 UTC [Lots Of Parts of Granite (Rock) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-parts-of-granite-rock) Hidden $10.31 17,184 BUX $0.87 1,452 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Dice (Tungsten) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dice-tungsten) Hidden $10.31 17,184 BUX $77.00 128,282 BUX 7.47x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Silver Sunflower other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-sunflower) Hidden $10.31 17,184 BUX $3.25 5,415 BUX 0.32x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Silver Sunflower other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-sunflower) [Meow](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Meow) $10.31 17,184 BUX $3.25 5,415 BUX 0.32x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Radiant Rhodium Ring (Rhodium) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/radiant-rhodium-ring-rhodium) Hidden $10.31 17,184 BUX $24.00 39,984 BUX 2.33x 2026-11-10 22:59 UTC [Lots Of Parts of Granite (Rock) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-parts-of-granite-rock) Hidden $10.31 17,184 BUX $0.87 1,452 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-10 22:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $10.31 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Exceedingly Rare 0.0% Consumer Grade 97.0% Industrial Grade 3.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt