--- title: "Eggcellent Enigma case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Eggcellent Enigma ($15.07) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 105.23% over 33 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e6b rendered: 2026-11-12T08:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Eggcellent Enigma](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e6b) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Eggcellent Enigma A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e6b?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e6b?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e6b) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e6b?window=all) Price · $15.07 · 25,101 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $13.56 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 105.23% · 33 openings, odds method Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 16.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 33 openings · below min since tracking started · 33 openings · below min -0.5% 102.0% 204.5% **Small sample.** 33 openings and 5.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e6b?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e6b?window=7d) | 8 | 101.63% ±102.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e6b) | 33 | 105.23% ±50.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e6b?window=all) | 33 | 105.23% ±50.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 33 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Antique Uranium Marble Set (Uranium) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/antique-uranium-marble-set-uranium) | 1 in 100 | $140 233,240 BUX | 10.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Mermaid's Pearl Earring (Pearl) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mermaids-pearl-earring-pearl) | 1 in 25 | $72.00 119,952 BUX | 21.2% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× | | [Amulet (Aquamarine) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/amulet-aquamarine) | 1 in 20 | $42.00 69,972 BUX | 15.5% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.21× | | [Scepter (Sunstone) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scepter-sunstone) | 1 in 17 | $39.00 64,974 BUX | 17.3% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.52× | | [Pendant (Pearl) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pendant-pearl) | 1 in 15 | $35.00 58,310 BUX | 16.8% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× | | [Opal Orb other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/opal-orb) | 15.0% | $8.00 13,328 BUX | 8.8% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.01× | | [Heirloom (Hematite) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/heirloom-hematite) | 17.5% | $6.00 9,996 BUX | 7.7% | 4 | 5.8 | 0.69× | | [Moonstone Marble other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/moonstone-marble) | 45.0% | $0.70 1,166 BUX | 2.3% | 16 | 14.8 | 1.08× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e6b) [Moonstone Marble other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/moonstone-marble) Hidden $15.07 25,101 BUX $0.70 1,166 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-07 23:35 UTC [Moonstone Marble other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/moonstone-marble) Hidden $15.07 25,101 BUX $0.70 1,166 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-07 23:35 UTC [Moonstone Marble other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/moonstone-marble) Hidden $15.07 25,101 BUX $0.70 1,166 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-07 23:35 UTC [Moonstone Marble other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/moonstone-marble) [Mulli](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Mulli) $15.07 25,101 BUX $0.70 1,166 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-07 23:35 UTC [Moonstone Marble other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/moonstone-marble) Hidden $15.07 25,101 BUX $0.70 1,166 BUX 0.05x 2026-11-07 23:34 UTC [Scepter (Sunstone) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scepter-sunstone) Hidden $15.07 25,101 BUX $39.00 64,974 BUX 2.59x 2026-11-07 23:34 UTC [Mermaid's Pearl Earring (Pearl) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mermaids-pearl-earring-pearl) Hidden $15.07 25,101 BUX $72.00 119,952 BUX 4.78x 2026-11-07 23:34 UTC [Opal Orb other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/opal-orb) [Mulli](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Mulli) $15.07 25,101 BUX $8.00 13,328 BUX 0.53x 2026-11-07 23:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $15.07 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Industrial Grade 24.5% Mil Spec Grade 4.0% Restricted 5.0% Consumer Grade 66.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt