--- title: "Bronze Bustle case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bronze Bustle ($3.79) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 113.86% over 256 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e79 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Bronze Bustle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e79) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Bronze Bustle A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e79?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e79?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e79) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e79?window=all) Price · $3.79 · 6,310 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $3.41 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 113.86% · 256 openings, odds method Variance · 4.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 128.64% ±32.45 154 openings 30 days · 113.86% ±25.17 256 openings since tracking started · 113.86% ±25.17 256 openings -0.5% 131.0% 262.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e79?window=24h) | 4 | 60.38% ±201.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e79?window=7d) | 154 | 128.64% ±32.5 | +2.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e79) | 256 | 113.86% ±25.2 | +1.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e79?window=all) | 256 | 113.86% ±25.2 | +1.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 256 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Bars Of Bronze (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bars-of-bronze-metal) | 1 in 1,000 | $202 336,800 BUX | 5.9% | 80 | 0.3 | — | | [Bronze Selfie Stick other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-selfie-stick) | 1 in 22 | $18.00 29,988 BUX | 23.8% | 12 | 11.5 | 1.04× | | [Lots Of Coins Of Bronze (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-bronze-metal) | 1 in 20 | $14.18 23,624 BUX | 20.8% | 0 | 12.8 | 0.00× | | [Bronze-Bound Bookend other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-bound-bookend) | 10.0% | $7.00 11,662 BUX | 20.5% | 25 | 25.6 | 0.98× | | [Bronze Bloom other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-bloom) | 15.4% | $2.70 4,498 BUX | 12.2% | 50 | 39.4 | 1.27× | | [Budget Bookmark (Bronze) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/budget-bookmark-bronze) | 17.5% | $1.50 2,499 BUX | 7.7% | 42 | 44.8 | 0.94× | | [Bronze Ornament other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-ornament) | 20.0% | $1.10 1,833 BUX | 6.5% | 47 | 51.2 | 0.92× | | [Crumbs Of Bronze (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/crumbs-of-bronze-metal) | 27.5% | $0.32 540 BUX | 2.6% | 0 | 70.4 | 0.00× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Bars Of Bronze (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bars-of-bronze-metal) Hidden $3.79 6,310 BUX $202 336,800 BUX 53.38x 2026-11-10 18:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e79) [Bars Of Bronze (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bars-of-bronze-metal) Hidden $3.79 6,310 BUX $0.32 540 BUX 0.09x 2026-11-11 11:12 UTC [Budget Bookmark (Bronze) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/budget-bookmark-bronze) Hidden $3.79 6,310 BUX $1.50 2,499 BUX 0.40x 2026-11-11 11:12 UTC [Bars Of Bronze (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bars-of-bronze-metal) Hidden $3.79 6,310 BUX $0.32 540 BUX 0.09x 2026-11-11 11:12 UTC [Bronze-Bound Bookend other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-bound-bookend) [Kogokushima](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Kogokushima) $3.79 6,310 BUX $7.00 11,662 BUX 1.85x 2026-11-11 11:12 UTC [Bars Of Bronze (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bars-of-bronze-metal) Hidden $3.79 6,310 BUX $0.32 540 BUX 0.09x 2026-11-11 01:47 UTC [Bronze-Bound Bookend other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-bound-bookend) Hidden $3.79 6,310 BUX $7.00 11,662 BUX 1.85x 2026-11-11 01:47 UTC [Bronze Ornament other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-ornament) Hidden $3.79 6,310 BUX $1.10 1,833 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-11 01:47 UTC [Bars Of Bronze (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bars-of-bronze-metal) [Levis](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Levis) $3.79 6,310 BUX $0.32 540 BUX 0.09x 2026-11-11 01:47 UTC [Bronze Selfie Stick other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-selfie-stick) Hidden $3.79 6,310 BUX $18.00 29,988 BUX 4.75x 2026-11-10 21:34 UTC [Bronze Bloom other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/bronze-bloom) Hidden $3.79 6,310 BUX $2.70 4,498 BUX 0.71x 2026-11-10 21:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $3.79 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Mil Spec Grade 42.6% Restricted 4.5% Industrial Grade 52.9% best hit $202 (53.38x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt