--- title: "Petrol Puzzle case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Petrol Puzzle ($124.53) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e7e rendered: 2026-11-12T07:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Petrol Puzzle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e7e) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Petrol Puzzle A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e7e?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e7e?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e7e) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e7e?window=all) Price · $124.53 · 207,459 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $112.07 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e7e?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e7e?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e7e) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e7e?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Rocks Of Jasper (Silica Mineral) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/rocks-of-jasper-silica-mineral) | 1 in 200 | $2,102 3,501,300 BUX | 9.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Ruby-Encrusted Dagger other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ruby-encrusted-dagger) | 1 in 40 | $770 1,282,820 BUX | 17.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Precious Stone of Onyx (Gemstone) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/precious-stone-of-onyx-gemstone) | 1 in 33 | $638 1,063,452 BUX | 17.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Ruby-Infused Wine Goblet other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ruby-infused-wine-goblet) | 1 in 20 | $350 583,100 BUX | 15.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Oracle Orb (Obsidian) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/oracle-orb-obsidian) | 1 in 13 | $165 274,890 BUX | 11.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Playing Cards (Titanium) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/playing-cards-titanium) | 10.0% | $98.00 163,268 BUX | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Wire Sculpture (Copper) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/wire-sculpture-copper) | 12.5% | $69.00 114,954 BUX | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Gauntlet (Garnet) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/gauntlet-garnet) | 58.5% | $24.00 39,984 BUX | 12.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e7e) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $125 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Classified 3.5% Exceedingly Rare 2.5% Covert 27.5% Restricted 66.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt