--- title: "Bronze Age case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bronze Age ($1.05) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 7 items with odds, observed 97.77% over 2,886 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8b rendered: 2026-11-12T08:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Bronze Age](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8b) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Bronze Age A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8b?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8b?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8b) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8b?window=all) Price · $1.05 · 1,742 BUX Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $0.94 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.77% · 2,886 openings, odds method Variance · 14.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 30 openings · below min 7 days · 102.98% ±18.17 1,688 openings 30 days · 97.77% ±13.90 2,886 openings since tracking started · 97.77% ±13.90 2,886 openings -0.5% 92.8% 186.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8b?window=24h) | 30 | 49.23% ±136.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8b?window=7d) | 1,688 | 102.98% ±18.2 | +1.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8b) | 2,886 | 97.77% ±13.9 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8b?window=all) | 2,886 | 97.77% ±13.9 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,886 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [SCAR-20 \| Brass (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $80.97 134,896 BUX | 4.3% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.08× | | [Sawed-Off \| Copper (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-copper-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $65.56 109,222 BUX | 7.0% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.04× | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Bronzed (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $62.37 103,908 BUX | 9.9% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.39× | | [Glock-18 \| Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $15.36 25,589 BUX | 12.2% | 22 | 21.6 | 1.02× | | [PP-Bizon \| Antique (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $5.56 9,262 BUX | 14.8% | 73 | 72.2 | 1.01× | | [Patch \| Copper Lambda patch · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-copper-lambda) | 1 in 33 | $4.72 7,863 BUX | 15.0% | 84 | 86.6 | 0.97× | | [Souvenir MAG-7 \| Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-battle-scarred) | 93.5% | $0.37 616 BUX | 36.7% | 2,695 | 2697.0 | 1.00× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [SCAR-20 | Brass (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-well-worn) Hidden $1.05 1,742 BUX $80.97 134,896 BUX 77.44x 2026-11-10 23:42 UTC [SCAR-20 | Brass (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-well-worn) Hidden $1.05 1,742 BUX $80.97 134,896 BUX 77.44x 2026-11-06 08:03 UTC [SCAR-20 | Brass (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-well-worn) Hidden $1.05 1,742 BUX $80.97 134,896 BUX 77.44x 2026-11-03 20:55 UTC [Sawed-Off | Copper (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-copper-well-worn) Hidden $1.05 1,742 BUX $65.56 109,222 BUX 62.70x 2026-11-10 19:31 UTC [Sawed-Off | Copper (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-copper-well-worn) Hidden $1.05 1,742 BUX $65.56 109,222 BUX 62.70x 2026-11-10 19:28 UTC [Sawed-Off | Copper (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-copper-well-worn) Hidden $1.05 1,742 BUX $65.56 109,222 BUX 62.70x 2026-11-10 19:25 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-well-worn) Hidden $1.05 1,742 BUX $62.37 103,908 BUX 59.65x 2026-11-10 19:28 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-well-worn) Hidden $1.05 1,742 BUX $62.37 103,908 BUX 59.65x 2026-11-07 17:10 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-well-worn) Hidden $1.05 1,742 BUX $62.37 103,908 BUX 59.65x 2026-11-05 15:28 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-well-worn) Hidden $1.05 1,742 BUX $62.37 103,908 BUX 59.65x 2026-11-04 13:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8b) [Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.05 1,742 BUX $0.37 616 BUX 0.35x 2026-11-12 00:59 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-battle-scarred) [sad\_man17](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/sad_man17) $1.05 1,742 BUX $0.37 616 BUX 0.35x 2026-11-12 00:59 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-battle-scarred) [user-19d0a7](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-19d0a7) $1.05 1,742 BUX $0.37 616 BUX 0.35x 2026-11-12 00:58 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-battle-scarred) [sad\_man17](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/sad_man17) $1.05 1,742 BUX $0.37 616 BUX 0.35x 2026-11-12 00:58 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-battle-scarred) [user-19d0a7](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-19d0a7) $1.05 1,742 BUX $0.37 616 BUX 0.35x 2026-11-12 00:57 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-battle-scarred) [sad\_man17](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/sad_man17) $1.05 1,742 BUX $0.37 616 BUX 0.35x 2026-11-12 00:57 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.05 1,742 BUX $0.37 616 BUX 0.35x 2026-11-12 00:42 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-battle-scarred) [Mulli](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Mulli) $1.05 1,742 BUX $0.37 616 BUX 0.35x 2026-11-12 00:42 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-battle-scarred) [Le Shake](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Le%20Shake) $1.05 1,742 BUX $0.37 616 BUX 0.35x 2026-11-11 22:05 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-copper-coated-battle-scarred) [Lidthyggepågeden](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Lidthyggep%C3%A5geden) $1.05 1,742 BUX $0.37 616 BUX 0.35x 2026-11-11 22:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $1.05 | 89.99% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Mil Spec Grade 93.5% mil spec 0.1% extraordinary 0.1% Restricted 0.8% restricted 2.5% Exotic 3.0% best hit $80.97 (77.44x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt