--- title: "Velocity Revolution case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Velocity Revolution ($1.27) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 6 items with odds, observed 77.90% over 1,512 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8c rendered: 2026-11-12T10:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Velocity Revolution](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8c) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Velocity Revolution A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8c?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8c?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8c) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8c?window=all) Price · $1.27 · 2,117 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $1.14 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 77.90% · 1,512 openings, odds method Variance · 7.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 34.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 28 openings · below min 7 days · 67.71% ±21.12 638 openings 30 days · 77.90% ±13.72 1,512 openings since tracking started · 77.90% ±13.72 1,512 openings -0.5% 94.0% 188.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8c?window=24h) | 28 | 86.83% ±100.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8c?window=7d) | 638 | 67.71% ±21.1 | −2.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8c) | 1,512 | 77.90% ±13.7 | −1.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8c?window=all) | 1,512 | 77.90% ±13.7 | −1.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,512 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 154 | $42.82 71,338 BUX | 24.3% | 5 | 9.8 | 0.51× | | [MP5-SD \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-nitro-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $3.35 5,581 BUX | 11.7% | 60 | 60.5 | 0.99× | | [P2000 \| Space Race (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-space-race-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $3.14 5,231 BUX | 12.4% | 51 | 68.0 | 0.75× | | [Souvenir CZ75-Auto \| Nitro (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-cz75-auto-nitro-minimal-wear) | 25.6% | $1.08 1,799 BUX | 24.2% | 414 | 387.1 | 1.07× | | [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) | 31.5% | $0.60 999 BUX | 16.5% | 484 | 476.3 | 1.02× | | [R8 Revolver \| Nitro (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-factory-new) | 33.8% | $0.37 616 BUX | 10.9% | 498 | 510.3 | 0.98× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8c) [M4A1-S | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) [Le Shake](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Le%20Shake) $1.27 2,117 BUX $0.60 999 BUX 0.47x 2026-11-11 22:19 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-factory-new) [Lidthyggepågeden](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Lidthyggep%C3%A5geden) $1.27 2,117 BUX $0.37 616 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-11 22:19 UTC [M4A1-S | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) Hidden $1.27 2,117 BUX $0.60 999 BUX 0.47x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-cz75-auto-nitro-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.27 2,117 BUX $1.08 1,799 BUX 0.85x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [M4A1-S | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) Hidden $1.27 2,117 BUX $0.60 999 BUX 0.47x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [MP5-SD | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-nitro-field-tested) [user-81c4ab](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-81c4ab) $1.27 2,117 BUX $3.35 5,581 BUX 2.64x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-factory-new) Hidden $1.27 2,117 BUX $0.37 616 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-11 20:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) [2ez4me](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/2ez4me) $1.27 2,117 BUX $0.60 999 BUX 0.47x 2026-11-11 20:58 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-factory-new) Hidden $1.27 2,117 BUX $0.37 616 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [R8 Revolver | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-factory-new) [2ez4me](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/2ez4me) $1.27 2,117 BUX $0.37 616 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $1.27 | 90.01% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.7% Industrial Grade 37.8% restricted 36.0% Mil Spec Grade 25.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt