--- title: "Guarded Antiquities case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Guarded Antiquities ($51.56) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 50.67% over 8 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8e rendered: 2026-11-12T08:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Guarded Antiquities](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8e) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Guarded Antiquities A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8e?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8e?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8e) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8e?window=all) Price · $51.56 · 85,901 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $46.40 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 50.67% · 8 openings, odds method Variance · 8.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min -0.5% 124.0% 248.5% **Small sample.** 8 openings and 1.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8e?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8e?window=7d) | 8 | 50.67% ±197.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8e) | 8 | 50.67% ±197.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8e?window=all) | 8 | 50.67% ±197.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Rod of Ragnarok (Rhodium) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/rod-of-ragnarok-rhodium) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,300 5,497,800 BUX | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Throne of Thor (Topaz) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/throne-of-thor-topaz) | 1 in 250 | $1,500 2,499,000 BUX | 12.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Coin From The Lost City (Mythril) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/coin-from-the-lost-city-mythril) | 1 in 29 | $199 331,534 BUX | 15.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sunburst Scepter (Sapphire) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sunburst-scepter-sapphire) | 1 in 25 | $135 224,910 BUX | 11.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Coffee Mug (Sapphire) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/coffee-mug-sapphire) | 1 in 25 | $130 216,580 BUX | 11.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Playing Cards (Titanium) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/playing-cards-titanium) | 1 in 13 | $98.00 163,268 BUX | 16.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Clarity Cube (Cobalt) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/clarity-cube-cobalt) | 30.0% | $29.00 48,314 BUX | 18.7% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× | | [Heirloom (Hematite) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/heirloom-hematite) | 50.0% | $6.00 9,996 BUX | 6.5% | 4 | 4.0 | 1.00× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e8e) [Clarity Cube (Cobalt) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/clarity-cube-cobalt) Hidden $51.56 85,901 BUX $29.00 48,314 BUX 0.56x 2026-11-09 21:42 UTC [Clarity Cube (Cobalt) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/clarity-cube-cobalt) Hidden $51.56 85,901 BUX $29.00 48,314 BUX 0.56x 2026-11-09 21:42 UTC [Heirloom (Hematite) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/heirloom-hematite) Hidden $51.56 85,901 BUX $6.00 9,996 BUX 0.12x 2026-11-09 21:42 UTC [Playing Cards (Titanium) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/playing-cards-titanium) [maxz9590](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/maxz9590) $51.56 85,901 BUX $98.00 163,268 BUX 1.90x 2026-11-09 21:42 UTC [Heirloom (Hematite) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/heirloom-hematite) Hidden $51.56 85,901 BUX $6.00 9,996 BUX 0.12x 2026-11-05 15:08 UTC [Heirloom (Hematite) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/heirloom-hematite) Hidden $51.56 85,901 BUX $6.00 9,996 BUX 0.12x 2026-11-05 15:08 UTC [Heirloom (Hematite) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/heirloom-hematite) Hidden $51.56 85,901 BUX $6.00 9,996 BUX 0.12x 2026-11-05 15:08 UTC [Clarity Cube (Cobalt) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/clarity-cube-cobalt) Hidden $51.56 85,901 BUX $29.00 48,314 BUX 0.56x 2026-11-05 15:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $51.56 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Special 0.5% Mil Spec Grade 7.5% Industrial Grade 84.0% Covert 8.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt