--- title: "Celebratory Treasures case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Celebratory Treasures ($79.95) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 476.55% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e91 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Celebratory Treasures](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e91) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Celebratory Treasures A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e91?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e91?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e91) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e91?window=all) Price · $79.95 · 133,194 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $71.95 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 476.55% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 8.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 451.5% 903.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e91?window=24h) | 4 | 36.27% ±291.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e91?window=7d) | 8 | 696.69% ±206.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e91) | 12 | 476.55% ±168.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e91?window=all) | 12 | 476.55% ±168.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Couple Of Unpolished Pearls (Organic Gemstone) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/couple-of-unpolished-pearls-organic-gemstone) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,300 7,163,800 BUX | 6.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — | | [Precious Stone of Ruby (Gemstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/precious-stone-of-ruby-gemstone) | 1 in 250 | $2,303 3,836,500 BUX | 12.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Bracelet (Sapphire) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/bracelet-sapphire) | 1 in 67 | $890 1,482,740 BUX | 18.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Chef's knife (Adamantium) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/chefs-knife-adamantium) | 1 in 33 | $549 914,634 BUX | 22.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Pearl Prism Pendant other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pearl-prism-pendant) | 1 in 11 | $76.00 126,616 BUX | 9.5% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.85× | | [Amulet (Aquamarine) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/amulet-aquamarine) | 36.0% | $42.00 69,972 BUX | 21.0% | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00× | | [Medallion (Bronze) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/medallion-bronze) | 50.0% | $13.33 22,200 BUX | 9.3% | 9 | 6.0 | 1.50× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Couple Of Unpolished Pearls (Organic Gemstone) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/couple-of-unpolished-pearls-organic-gemstone) Hidden $79.95 133,194 BUX $4,300 7,163,800 BUX 53.78x 2026-11-10 06:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e91) [Medallion (Bronze) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/medallion-bronze) Hidden $79.95 133,194 BUX $13.33 22,200 BUX 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Medallion (Bronze) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/medallion-bronze) Hidden $79.95 133,194 BUX $13.33 22,200 BUX 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Medallion (Bronze) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/medallion-bronze) Hidden $79.95 133,194 BUX $13.33 22,200 BUX 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Pearl Prism Pendant other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pearl-prism-pendant) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $79.95 133,194 BUX $76.00 126,616 BUX 0.95x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Medallion (Bronze) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/medallion-bronze) Hidden $79.95 133,194 BUX $13.33 22,200 BUX 0.17x 2026-11-10 06:55 UTC [Medallion (Bronze) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/medallion-bronze) Hidden $79.95 133,194 BUX $13.33 22,200 BUX 0.17x 2026-11-10 06:55 UTC [Couple Of Unpolished Pearls (Organic Gemstone) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/couple-of-unpolished-pearls-organic-gemstone) Hidden $79.95 133,194 BUX $4,300 7,163,800 BUX 53.78x 2026-11-10 06:55 UTC [Medallion (Bronze) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/medallion-bronze) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $79.95 133,194 BUX $13.33 22,200 BUX 0.17x 2026-11-10 06:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $79.95 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Special 0.1% Covert 0.4% Classified 1.5% Restricted 39.0% Industrial Grade 9.0% Mil Spec Grade 50.0% best hit $4,300 (53.78x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt