--- title: "Out of this World case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Out of this World ($1,016.56) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e9a rendered: 2026-11-12T08:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Out of this World](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e9a) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Out of this World A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e9a?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e9a?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e9a) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e9a?window=all) Price · $1,016.56 · 1,693,594 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $914.91 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 50.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e9a?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e9a?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e9a) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e9a?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $4,758 7,927,294 BUX | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 91 | $4,731 7,882,229 BUX | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $1,342 2,235,005 BUX | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $1,334 2,223,177 BUX | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $1,323 2,204,501 BUX | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 34.8% | $899 1,497,167 BUX | 34.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-well-worn) | 50.0% | $656 1,092,679 BUX | 35.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9e9a) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $1,017 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 15.2% Covert 34.8% sunny 50.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt