--- title: "Bit Blitz case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bit Blitz ($13.24) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 91.25% over 25 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ea9 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Bit Blitz](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ea9) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Bit Blitz A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ea9?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ea9?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ea9) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ea9?window=all) Price · $13.24 · 22,066 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $11.92 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.25% · 25 openings, odds method Variance · 8.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 23 openings · below min 30 days · 25 openings · below min since tracking started · 25 openings · below min -0.5% 105.3% 211.0% **Small sample.** 25 openings and 3.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ea9?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ea9?window=7d) | 23 | 89.26% ±121.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ea9) | 25 | 91.25% ±116.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ea9?window=all) | 25 | 91.25% ±116.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 25 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $390 649,973 BUX | 32.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $44.31 73,820 BUX | 14.9% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $22.20 36,985 BUX | 14.9% | 6 | 2.0 | 3.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 12.0% | $15.12 25,189 BUX | 15.2% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.33× | | [Sticker \| Neon Opal Strafe (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-neon-opal-strafe-holo) | 18.0% | $8.67 14,444 BUX | 13.1% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.11× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 27.0% | $2.99 4,981 BUX | 6.8% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.89× | | [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-well-worn) | 30.0% | $0.96 1,599 BUX | 2.4% | 3 | 7.5 | 0.40× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ea9) [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.24 22,066 BUX $2.99 4,981 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-10 01:06 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) Hidden $13.24 22,066 BUX $44.31 73,820 BUX 3.35x 2026-11-10 01:06 UTC [Sticker | Neon Opal Strafe (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-neon-opal-strafe-holo) Hidden $13.24 22,066 BUX $8.67 14,444 BUX 0.65x 2026-11-10 01:06 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) [fajfussss](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/fajfussss) $13.24 22,066 BUX $22.20 36,985 BUX 1.68x 2026-11-10 01:06 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) Hidden $13.24 22,066 BUX $22.20 36,985 BUX 1.68x 2026-11-10 01:06 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.24 22,066 BUX $2.99 4,981 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-10 01:06 UTC [Sticker | Neon Opal Strafe (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-neon-opal-strafe-holo) Hidden $13.24 22,066 BUX $8.67 14,444 BUX 0.65x 2026-11-10 01:06 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) [fajfussss](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/fajfussss) $13.24 22,066 BUX $22.20 36,985 BUX 1.68x 2026-11-10 01:06 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.24 22,066 BUX $2.99 4,981 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-08 07:02 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) Hidden $13.24 22,066 BUX $22.20 36,985 BUX 1.68x 2026-11-08 07:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $13.24 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 13.0% Ancient 4.0% red 8.0% remarkable 18.0% pink 27.0% classified 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt