--- title: "Holo Spectrum Treasure case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Holo Spectrum Treasure ($4.04) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 87.80% over 427 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eab rendered: 2026-11-12T07:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Holo Spectrum Treasure](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eab) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Holo Spectrum Treasure A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eab?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eab?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eab) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eab?window=all) Price · $4.04 · 6,728 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $3.63 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.80% · 427 openings, odds method Variance · 15.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 22 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 46.44% ±63.65 144 openings 30 days · 87.80% ±36.96 427 openings since tracking started · 87.80% ±36.96 427 openings -0.5% 123.3% 247.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eab?window=24h) | 12 | 25.73% ±220.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eab?window=7d) | 144 | 46.44% ±63.6 | −1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eab) | 427 | 87.80% ±37.0 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eab?window=all) | 427 | 87.80% ±37.0 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 427 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Boston 2018 Legends (Holo-Foil) other · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/boston-2018-legends-holo-foil) | 1 in 200 | $217 360,788 BUX | 29.8% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.94× | | [Sticker \| FaZe Clan (Holo) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-faze-clan-holo-krakow-2017) | 1 in 25 | $20.27 33,769 BUX | 22.3% | 17 | 17.1 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| Outsiders (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-outsiders-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 13 | $10.53 17,542 BUX | 21.7% | 31 | 32.0 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| paiN Gaming (Holo) \| Paris 2023 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pain-gaming-holo-paris-2023) | 11.0% | $2.67 4,448 BUX | 8.1% | 52 | 47.0 | 1.11× | | [Sticker \| KSCERATO (Holo) \| Paris 2023 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kscerato-holo-paris-2023) | 12.0% | $1.96 3,265 BUX | 6.5% | 44 | 51.2 | 0.86× | | [Sticker \| Small Arms (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-small-arms-holo) | 13.0% | $1.18 1,965 BUX | 4.2% | 60 | 55.5 | 1.08× | | [Sticker \| Broken Fang (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-broken-fang-holo) | 13.0% | $1.11 1,849 BUX | 4.0% | 55 | 55.5 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| shalfey (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shalfey-holo-antwerp-2022) | 39.0% | $0.32 533 BUX | 3.4% | 166 | 166.5 | 1.00× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Boston 2018 Legends (Holo-Foil) other · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/boston-2018-legends-holo-foil) [hyggemyggen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/hyggemyggen) $4.04 6,728 BUX $217 360,788 BUX 53.62x 2026-11-03 20:34 UTC [Boston 2018 Legends (Holo-Foil) other · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/boston-2018-legends-holo-foil) Hidden $4.04 6,728 BUX $217 360,788 BUX 53.62x 2026-11-02 22:15 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eab) [Sticker | paiN Gaming (Holo) | Paris 2023 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pain-gaming-holo-paris-2023) [Le Shake](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Le%20Shake) $4.04 6,728 BUX $2.67 4,448 BUX 0.66x 2026-11-11 22:19 UTC [Sticker | shalfey (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shalfey-holo-antwerp-2022) [Lidthyggepågeden](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Lidthyggep%C3%A5geden) $4.04 6,728 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-11 22:19 UTC [Sticker | shalfey (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shalfey-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $4.04 6,728 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-11 22:09 UTC [Sticker | shalfey (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shalfey-holo-antwerp-2022) [Le Shake](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Le%20Shake) $4.04 6,728 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-11 22:09 UTC [Sticker | shalfey (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shalfey-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $4.04 6,728 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [Sticker | shalfey (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shalfey-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $4.04 6,728 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [Sticker | paiN Gaming (Holo) | Paris 2023 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pain-gaming-holo-paris-2023) Hidden $4.04 6,728 BUX $2.67 4,448 BUX 0.66x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [Sticker | shalfey (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shalfey-holo-antwerp-2022) [tenshi](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/tenshi) $4.04 6,728 BUX $0.32 533 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [Sticker | Broken Fang (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-broken-fang-holo) Hidden $4.04 6,728 BUX $1.11 1,849 BUX 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Sticker | paiN Gaming (Holo) | Paris 2023 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pain-gaming-holo-paris-2023) Hidden $4.04 6,728 BUX $2.67 4,448 BUX 0.66x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $4.04 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Base Grade 0.5% Remarkable 17.0% exotic 18.5% Exotic 51.0% Mythical 13.0% best hit $217 (53.62x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt