--- title: "Oceanic Odyssey case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Oceanic Odyssey ($11.13) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 80.69% over 202 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb1 rendered: 2026-11-12T11:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Oceanic Odyssey](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb1) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Oceanic Odyssey A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb1?window=all) Price · $11.13 · 18,550 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $10.02 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.69% · 202 openings, odds method Variance · 7.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 59.79% ±45.70 139 openings 30 days · 80.69% ±37.91 202 openings since tracking started · 80.69% ±37.91 202 openings -0.5% 81.8% 164.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb1?window=24h) | 16 | 28.80% ±134.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb1?window=7d) | 139 | 59.79% ±45.7 | −1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb1) | 202 | 80.69% ±37.9 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb1?window=all) | 202 | 80.69% ±37.9 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 202 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $224 373,783 BUX | 22.4% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.99× | | [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $115 191,673 BUX | 23.0% | 4 | 4.0 | 0.99× | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $113 187,624 BUX | 22.5% | 2 | 4.0 | 0.50× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 10.0% | $9.78 16,293 BUX | 9.8% | 24 | 20.2 | 1.19× | | [MP7 \| Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $3.14 5,231 BUX | 7.8% | 47 | 50.5 | 0.93× | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-groundwater-battle-scarred) | 28.0% | $2.59 4,314 BUX | 7.2% | 54 | 56.6 | 0.95× | | [XM1014 \| Seasons (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-factory-new) | 32.0% | $2.30 3,831 BUX | 7.3% | 69 | 64.6 | 1.07× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 10:50 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb1) [MP7 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.13 18,550 BUX $3.14 5,231 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC [MP7 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.13 18,550 BUX $3.14 5,231 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC [XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-factory-new) Hidden $11.13 18,550 BUX $2.30 3,831 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC [MP7 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) [kdeen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/kdeen) $11.13 18,550 BUX $3.14 5,231 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $11.13 18,550 BUX $9.78 16,293 BUX 0.88x 2026-11-11 20:56 UTC [XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-factory-new) Hidden $11.13 18,550 BUX $2.30 3,831 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-11 20:56 UTC [MP7 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.13 18,550 BUX $3.14 5,231 BUX 0.28x 2026-11-11 20:56 UTC [XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-factory-new) [kdeen](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/kdeen) $11.13 18,550 BUX $2.30 3,831 BUX 0.21x 2026-11-11 20:56 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Groundwater (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-groundwater-battle-scarred) Hidden $11.13 18,550 BUX $2.59 4,314 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-11 20:55 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Groundwater (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-groundwater-battle-scarred) Hidden $11.13 18,550 BUX $2.59 4,314 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-11 20:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $11.13 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.0% classified 12.0% Restricted 25.0% Industrial Grade 28.0% Mythical 32.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt