--- title: "Crowned Glory case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Crowned Glory ($10.39) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 69.04% over 222 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb3 rendered: 2026-11-12T06:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Crowned Glory](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb3) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Crowned Glory A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb3?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb3?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb3) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb3?window=all) Price · $10.39 · 17,314 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $9.35 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 69.04% · 222 openings, odds method Variance · 6.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 69.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 70.32% ±39.61 158 openings 30 days · 69.04% ±33.42 222 openings since tracking started · 69.04% ±33.42 222 openings -0.5% 132.8% 266.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb3?window=24h) | 4 | 16.26% ±248.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb3?window=7d) | 158 | 70.32% ±39.6 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb3) | 222 | 69.04% ±33.4 | −1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb3?window=all) | 222 | 69.04% ±33.4 | −1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 222 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $342 569,222 BUX | 18.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $53.67 89,414 BUX | 14.3% | 4 | 5.6 | 0.72× | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $44.71 74,486 BUX | 11.9% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.08× | | [Sir Bloody Darryl Royale \| The Professionals agent · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sir-bloody-darryl-royale-the-professionals) | 1 in 15 | $21.62 36,018 BUX | 15.0% | 11 | 14.4 | 0.76× | | [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $17.20 28,655 BUX | 14.7% | 14 | 17.8 | 0.79× | | [Sticker \| Team Kinguin (Foil) \| Cologne 2015 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-kinguin-foil-cologne-2015) | 10.5% | $14.89 24,806 BUX | 16.7% | 31 | 23.3 | 1.33× | | [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) | 17.5% | $2.58 4,298 BUX | 4.8% | 29 | 38.8 | 0.75× | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-field-tested) | 26.0% | $0.80 1,332 BUX | 2.2% | 61 | 57.7 | 1.06× | | [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-minimal-wear) | 26.0% | $0.70 1,166 BUX | 1.9% | 66 | 57.7 | 1.14× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb3) [StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-field-tested) Hidden $10.39 17,314 BUX $0.80 1,332 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.39 17,314 BUX $2.58 4,298 BUX 0.25x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-field-tested) Hidden $10.39 17,314 BUX $0.80 1,332 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) [Meow](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Meow) $10.39 17,314 BUX $2.58 4,298 BUX 0.25x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.39 17,314 BUX $17.20 28,655 BUX 1.66x 2026-11-10 19:39 UTC [Sticker | Team Kinguin (Foil) | Cologne 2015 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-kinguin-foil-cologne-2015) Hidden $10.39 17,314 BUX $14.89 24,806 BUX 1.43x 2026-11-10 19:39 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-field-tested) Hidden $10.39 17,314 BUX $0.80 1,332 BUX 0.08x 2026-11-10 19:39 UTC [Sticker | Team Kinguin (Foil) | Cologne 2015 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-kinguin-foil-cologne-2015) [user-62df08](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/user-62df08) $10.39 17,314 BUX $14.89 24,806 BUX 1.43x 2026-11-10 19:39 UTC [Sticker | Team Kinguin (Foil) | Cologne 2015 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-kinguin-foil-cologne-2015) Hidden $10.39 17,314 BUX $14.89 24,806 BUX 1.43x 2026-11-10 19:34 UTC [Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.39 17,314 BUX $0.70 1,166 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $10.39 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 3.0% industrial 2.5% Ancient 6.5% covert 8.0% Exotic 10.5% violet 43.5% restricted 26.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt