--- title: "After Hours Ambiance case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "After Hours Ambiance ($3.03) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 77.05% over 1,379 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb7 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [After Hours Ambiance](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb7) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · After Hours Ambiance A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb7?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb7?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb7) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb7?window=all) Price · $3.03 · 5,041 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $2.72 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 77.05% · 1,379 openings, odds method Variance · 79.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 48 openings · below min 7 days · 81.90% ±68.77 648 openings 30 days · 77.05% ±47.14 1,379 openings since tracking started · 77.05% ±47.14 1,379 openings -0.5% 173.8% 348.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb7?window=24h) | 48 | 94.73% ±252.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb7?window=7d) | 648 | 81.90% ±68.8 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb7) | 1,379 | 77.05% ±47.1 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb7?window=all) | 1,379 | 77.05% ±47.1 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,379 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $828 1,379,814 BUX | 30.4% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Night (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-night-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $73.87 123,067 BUX | 24.4% | 20 | 12.4 | 1.61× | | [AWP \| POP AWP (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $5.54 9,229 BUX | 8.1% | 64 | 55.2 | 1.16× | | [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $3.42 5,697 BUX | 6.3% | 75 | 69.0 | 1.09× | | [Glock-18 \| Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) | 20.0% | $1.56 2,598 BUX | 11.5% | 260 | 275.8 | 0.94× | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Signal (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-well-worn) | 25.0% | $1.33 2,215 BUX | 12.2% | 343 | 344.8 | 0.99× | | [R8 Revolver \| Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-field-tested) | 45.0% | $0.43 716 BUX | 7.1% | 617 | 620.6 | 0.99× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eb7) [Glock-18 | Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) Hidden $3.03 5,041 BUX $1.56 2,598 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-11 22:09 UTC [R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-field-tested) [Le Shake](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Le%20Shake) $3.03 5,041 BUX $0.43 716 BUX 0.14x 2026-11-11 22:09 UTC [Glock-18 | Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) Hidden $3.03 5,041 BUX $1.56 2,598 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [Glock-18 | Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) [mads](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/mads) $3.03 5,041 BUX $1.56 2,598 BUX 0.52x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-field-tested) Hidden $3.03 5,041 BUX $0.43 716 BUX 0.14x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-field-tested) [mads](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/mads) $3.03 5,041 BUX $0.43 716 BUX 0.14x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-well-worn) Hidden $3.03 5,041 BUX $1.33 2,215 BUX 0.44x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-field-tested) [mads](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/mads) $3.03 5,041 BUX $0.43 716 BUX 0.14x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-well-worn) Hidden $3.03 5,041 BUX $1.33 2,215 BUX 0.44x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-field-tested) [mads](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/mads) $3.03 5,041 BUX $0.43 716 BUX 0.14x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $3.03 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% #ffd700 0.9% Restricted 29.0% restricted 5.0% Industrial Grade 20.0% Consumer Grade 45.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt