--- title: "Rampant Rage case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Rampant Rage ($37.84) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 110.16% over 20 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eba rendered: 2026-11-12T06:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Rampant Rage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eba) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Rampant Rage A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eba?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eba?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eba) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eba?window=all) Price · $37.84 · 63,049 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $34.06 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 110.16% · 20 openings, odds method Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 23.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 16 openings · below min 30 days · 20 openings · below min since tracking started · 20 openings · below min 66.5% 104.5% 142.5% **Small sample.** 20 openings and 4.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eba?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eba?window=7d) | 16 | 102.55% ±35.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eba) | 20 | 110.16% ±31.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eba?window=all) | 20 | 110.16% ±31.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $148 246,234 BUX | 4.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $91.03 151,655 BUX | 12.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $81.48 135,745 BUX | 12.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Road Rash (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-road-rash-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $81.19 135,262 BUX | 11.9% | 3 | 1.0 | 3.00× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $57.37 95,578 BUX | 12.6% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-well-worn) | 12.0% | $42.26 70,405 BUX | 14.9% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) | 65.0% | $16.89 28,138 BUX | 32.2% | 11 | 13.0 | 0.85× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eba) [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $37.84 63,049 BUX $16.89 28,138 BUX 0.45x 2026-11-08 00:07 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-well-worn) Hidden $37.84 63,049 BUX $42.26 70,405 BUX 1.12x 2026-11-08 00:07 UTC [Souvenir USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-road-rash-factory-new) Hidden $37.84 63,049 BUX $81.19 135,262 BUX 2.15x 2026-11-08 00:07 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Convoy (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-battle-scarred) [Mulli](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Mulli) $37.84 63,049 BUX $57.37 95,578 BUX 1.52x 2026-11-08 00:07 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $37.84 63,049 BUX $16.89 28,138 BUX 0.45x 2026-11-08 00:05 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $37.84 63,049 BUX $16.89 28,138 BUX 0.45x 2026-11-08 00:05 UTC [Souvenir USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-road-rash-factory-new) Hidden $37.84 63,049 BUX $81.19 135,262 BUX 2.15x 2026-11-08 00:05 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) [Mulli](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Mulli) $37.84 63,049 BUX $16.89 28,138 BUX 0.45x 2026-11-08 00:05 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $37.84 63,049 BUX $16.89 28,138 BUX 0.45x 2026-11-07 23:53 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $37.84 63,049 BUX $16.89 28,138 BUX 0.45x 2026-11-07 23:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $37.84 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 25.0% covert 5.0% restricted 5.0% Classified 65.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt