---
title: "Exclusive Elegance case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Exclusive Elegance ($3,829.38) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec1
rendered: 2026-11-12T08:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Exclusive Elegance](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec1)

# [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Exclusive Elegance

A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec1?window=all)

Price · $3,829.38 · 6,379,748 BUX

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $3,446.44 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 4.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 64.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec1?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec1?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec1) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec1?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Suspect's Gold Watch (Gold) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/suspects-gold-watch-gold) | 1 in 100 | $50K 83,300,000 BUX | 14.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Elysium Earring (Emerald) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/elysium-earring-emerald) | 1 in 67 | $44.4K 74,043,704 BUX | 19.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Earring (Emerald) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/earring-emerald) | 1 in 33 | $25K 41,650,000 BUX | 21.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Precious Stones of Sapphire (Gemstone) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/precious-stones-of-sapphire-gemstone) | 1 in 13 | $8,070 13,445,000 BUX | 17.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Precious Stone of Emerald (Gemstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/precious-stone-of-emerald-gemstone) | 10.0% | $4,341 7,232,775 BUX | 12.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Amulet of Atlantis (Amethyst) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/amulet-of-atlantis-amethyst) | 12.5% | $3,884 6,470,694 BUX | 14.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Gilded Gemstone Goggles (Gemstone) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/gilded-gemstone-goggles-gemstone) | 25.0% | $15.25 25,407 BUX | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Jewel (Jade) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/jewel-jade) | 39.5% | $2.70 4,498 BUX | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec1)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $3,829 | 90.00% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Special 13.5% Covert 11.5% Restricted 3.0% Classified 7.5% Industrial Grade 25.0% Consumer Grade 39.5%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
