---
title: "Charms of Affection case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Charms of Affection ($2,757.81) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec3
rendered: 2026-11-12T06:32Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Charms of Affection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec3)

# [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Charms of Affection

A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec3?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec3?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec3) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec3?window=all)

Price · $2,757.81 · 4,594,516 BUX

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $2,482.03 from 7 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 18.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec3?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec3?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec3) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec3?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Treasure Map (Emerald) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/treasure-map-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $150K 249,900,000 BUX | 30.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Precious Stone of Diamond (Gemstone) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/precious-stone-of-diamond-gemstone) | 1 in 67 | $40.3K 67,200,000 BUX | 24.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Totem (Tourmaline) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/totem-tourmaline) | 1 in 22 | $10K 16,660,000 BUX | 18.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Picture Frame (Sapphire) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/picture-frame-sapphire) | 1 in 18 | $9,000 14,994,000 BUX | 19.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Oculus of Olympus (Opal) other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/oculus-of-olympus-opal) | 10.0% | $1,800 2,998,800 BUX | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Rose Quartz Ring (Quartz) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/rose-quartz-ring-quartz) | 39.0% | $2.60 4,332 BUX | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Heart (Hematite) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/heart-hematite) | 39.0% | $2.50 4,165 BUX | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ec3)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $2,758 | 90.00% | 7 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Special 7.5% Restricted 4.5% Exceedingly Rare 10.0% Industrial Grade 39.0% Consumer Grade 39.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt