--- title: "Ageless Allegations case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ageless Allegations ($1,184.54) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ecb rendered: 2026-11-12T05:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Ageless Allegations](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ecb) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Ageless Allegations A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ecb?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ecb?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ecb) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ecb?window=all) Price · $1,184.54 · 1,973,441 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,066.08 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 62.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ecb?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ecb?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ecb) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ecb?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Lots Of Precious Stones Of Amethyst (Gemstone) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-precious-stones-of-amethyst-gemstone) | 1 in 200 | $16.2K 27,025,000 BUX | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Totem (Tourmaline) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/totem-tourmaline) | 1 in 67 | $10K 16,660,000 BUX | 14.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Amulet of Atlantis (Amethyst) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/amulet-of-atlantis-amethyst) | 1 in 15 | $3,884 6,470,694 BUX | 23.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Lots Of Precious Stones Of Citrine (Quartz) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-precious-stones-of-citrine-quartz) | 1 in 14 | $2,836 4,725,000 BUX | 18.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Oculus of Olympus (Opal) other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/oculus-of-olympus-opal) | 10.0% | $1,800 2,998,800 BUX | 16.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Gauntlet of Galaxies (Garnet) other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/gauntlet-of-galaxies-garnet) | 12.5% | $1,250 2,082,500 BUX | 14.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dice (Tungsten) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dice-tungsten) | 62.0% | $77.00 128,282 BUX | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ecb) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $1,185 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 0.5% Restricted 1.5% Special 6.5% Classified 7.0% Exceedingly Rare 22.5% Industrial Grade 62.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt