--- title: "Prism Paragon case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Prism Paragon ($728.55) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ed3 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Prism Paragon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ed3) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Prism Paragon A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ed3?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ed3?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ed3) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ed3?window=all) Price · $728.55 · 1,213,758 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $655.69 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 59.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ed3?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ed3?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ed3) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ed3?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Precious Stones of Diamond (Gemstone) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/precious-stones-of-diamond-gemstone) | 1 in 2,000 | $196K 327,000,000 BUX | 15.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tourmaline Tablet other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tourmaline-tablet) | 1 in 105 | $35K 58,310,000 BUX | 50.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rocks Of Jade (Silica Mineral) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/rocks-of-jade-silica-mineral) | 1 in 29 | $6,095 10,154,280 BUX | 32.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rock Of Opal (Silica Mineral) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock-of-opal-silica-mineral) | 12.5% | $41.90 69,800 BUX | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Totem (Topaz) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/totem-topaz) | 13.0% | $32.00 53,312 BUX | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Titanium Token other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/titanium-token) | 20.0% | $5.00 8,330 BUX | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Locket (Lapis Lazuli) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/locket-lapis-lazuli) | 20.0% | $5.00 8,330 BUX | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Grains (Garnet) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/grains-garnet) | 30.0% | $1.10 1,833 BUX | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ed3) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $729 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Special 0.1% Exceedingly Rare 0.9% Covert 3.5% Mil Spec Grade 25.5% Restricted 20.0% Consumer Grade 50.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt