--- title: "Radiant Rays case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Radiant Rays ($106.25) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 11.66% over 20 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee7 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Radiant Rays](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee7) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Radiant Rays A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee7?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee7?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee7) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee7?window=all) Price · $106.25 · 177,017 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $95.63 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 11.66% · 20 openings, odds method Variance · 11.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 2 openings · below min 30 days · 20 openings · below min since tracking started · 20 openings · below min -0.5% 242.5% 485.5% **Small sample.** 20 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee7?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee7?window=7d) | 2 | 12.82% ±471.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee7) | 20 | 11.66% ±149.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee7?window=all) | 20 | 11.66% ±149.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Lots Of Precious Stones Of Citrine (Quartz) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-precious-stones-of-citrine-quartz) | 1 in 200 | $2,836 4,725,000 BUX | 14.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Golden Sunglasses other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/golden-sunglasses) | 1 in 50 | $2,100 3,498,600 BUX | 43.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Astral Amulet (Alexandrite) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/astral-amulet-alexandrite) | 1 in 20 | $450 749,700 BUX | 23.5% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [Sunburst Scepter (Sapphire) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sunburst-scepter-sapphire) | 1 in 13 | $135 224,910 BUX | 10.6% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× | | [Radiant Rhodium Ring (Rhodium) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/radiant-rhodium-ring-rhodium) | 13.0% | $24.00 39,984 BUX | 3.3% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.77× | | [Silver-ish Sunhat other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-ish-sunhat) | 15.0% | $12.00 19,992 BUX | 1.9% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× | | [Lots Of Parts of Limestone (Rock) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-parts-of-limestone-rock) | 19.0% | $3.77 6,280 BUX | 0.7% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.05× | | [Silver Sunflower other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-sunflower) | 19.0% | $3.25 5,415 BUX | 0.6% | 7 | 3.8 | 1.84× | | [Star (Steel) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/star-steel) | 19.0% | $2.99 4,981 BUX | 0.6% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.32× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee7) [Silver Sunflower other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/silver-sunflower) Hidden $106 177,017 BUX $3.25 5,415 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-09 21:44 UTC [Radiant Rhodium Ring (Rhodium) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/radiant-rhodium-ring-rhodium) [maxz9590](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/maxz9590) $106 177,017 BUX $24.00 39,984 BUX 0.23x 2026-11-09 21:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $106 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Classified 0.5% Exceedingly Rare 2.0% Restricted 5.0% Mil Spec Grade 45.5% Consumer Grade 32.0% Industrial Grade 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt