--- title: "Black Gold case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Black Gold ($109.76) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 75.32% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee8 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Black Gold](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee8) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Black Gold A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee8?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee8?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee8) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee8?window=all) Price · $109.76 · 182,858 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $98.78 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 75.32% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 9.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 79.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 185.3% 371.0% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee8?window=24h) | 4 | 75.32% ±295.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee8?window=7d) | 4 | 75.32% ±295.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee8) | 4 | 75.32% ±295.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee8?window=all) | 4 | 75.32% ±295.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Lots Of Rocks Of Obsidian (Silica Mineral) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-rocks-of-obsidian-silica-mineral) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,662 12,765,000 BUX | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Precious Stones of Onyx (Gemstone) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/precious-stones-of-onyx-gemstone) | 1 in 111 | $2,388 3,979,020 BUX | 21.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Limited Edition Coin (Adamantium) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/limited-edition-coin-adamantium) | 1 in 20 | $230 383,180 BUX | 11.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Lots Of Nodules Of Obsidian (Silica Mineral) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-nodules-of-obsidian-silica-mineral) | 1 in 17 | $219 364,302 BUX | 13.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Oracle Orb (Obsidian) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/oracle-orb-obsidian) | 1 in 12 | $165 274,890 BUX | 14.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Ninja Star Ornament (Titanium) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ninja-star-ornament-titanium) | 39.5% | $44.00 73,304 BUX | 17.6% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× | | [Obelisk (Obsidian) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/obelisk-obsidian) | 40.0% | $34.00 56,644 BUX | 13.8% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9ee8) [Obelisk (Obsidian) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/obelisk-obsidian) Hidden $110 182,858 BUX $34.00 56,644 BUX 0.31x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Ninja Star Ornament (Titanium) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ninja-star-ornament-titanium) Hidden $110 182,858 BUX $44.00 73,304 BUX 0.40x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Obelisk (Obsidian) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/obelisk-obsidian) Hidden $110 182,858 BUX $34.00 56,644 BUX 0.31x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Lots Of Nodules Of Obsidian (Silica Mineral) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-nodules-of-obsidian-silica-mineral) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $110 182,858 BUX $219 364,302 BUX 1.99x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $110 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Classified 46.5% Restricted 13.5% Industrial Grade 40.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt