---
title: "Zen Harmony case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Zen Harmony ($109.34) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 454.30% over 8 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eeb
rendered: 2026-11-12T06:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Zen Harmony](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eeb)

# [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Zen Harmony

A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eeb?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eeb?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eeb) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eeb?window=all)

Price · $109.34 · 182,162 BUX

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $98.41 from 7 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 454.30% · 8 openings, odds method

Variance · 30.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 98.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 4 openings · below min

7 days · 8 openings · below min

30 days · 8 openings · below min

since tracking started · 8 openings · below min

-0.5% 419.3% 839.0%

**Small sample.** 8 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eeb?window=24h) | 4 | 10.36% ±542.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eeb?window=7d) | 8 | 454.30% ±383.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eeb) | 8 | 454.30% ±383.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eeb?window=all) | 8 | 454.30% ±383.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Zirconium Zenith Ziggurat other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/zirconium-zenith-ziggurat) | 1 in 133 | $5,000 8,330,000 BUX | 38.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Amulet of Atlantis (Amethyst) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/amulet-of-atlantis-amethyst) | 1 in 80 | $3,884 6,470,694 BUX | 49.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Zenith (Zirconium) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/zenith-zirconium) | 12.5% | $42.00 69,972 BUX | 5.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [Zen Garden (Zirconium) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/zen-garden-zirconium) | 14.0% | $28.00 46,648 BUX | 4.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.79× |
| [Piece Of Oak (Wood) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/piece-of-oak-wood) | 18.0% | $16.45 27,400 BUX | 3.0% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× |
| [Splinters Of Bamboo (Wood) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/splinters-of-bamboo-wood) | 25.0% | $0.70 1,170 BUX | 0.2% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [Plank of wood (Wood) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/plank-of-wood-wood) | 28.5% | $0.18 300 BUX | 0.1% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.88× |

Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Amulet of Atlantis (Amethyst) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/amulet-of-atlantis-amethyst) Hidden $109 182,162 BUX $3,884 6,470,694 BUX 35.52x 2026-11-08 00:06 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eeb)

[Plank of wood (Wood) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/plank-of-wood-wood) Hidden $109 182,162 BUX $0.18 300 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC

[Splinters Of Bamboo (Wood) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/splinters-of-bamboo-wood) Hidden $109 182,162 BUX $0.70 1,170 BUX 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC

[Piece Of Oak (Wood) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/piece-of-oak-wood) Hidden $109 182,162 BUX $16.45 27,400 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC

[Zen Garden (Zirconium) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/zen-garden-zirconium) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $109 182,162 BUX $28.00 46,648 BUX 0.26x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC

[Zen Garden (Zirconium) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/zen-garden-zirconium) Hidden $109 182,162 BUX $28.00 46,648 BUX 0.26x 2026-11-08 00:06 UTC

[Amulet of Atlantis (Amethyst) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/amulet-of-atlantis-amethyst) Hidden $109 182,162 BUX $3,884 6,470,694 BUX 35.52x 2026-11-08 00:06 UTC

[Plank of wood (Wood) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/plank-of-wood-wood) Hidden $109 182,162 BUX $0.18 300 BUX 0.00x 2026-11-08 00:06 UTC

[Piece Of Oak (Wood) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/piece-of-oak-wood) Hidden $109 182,162 BUX $16.45 27,400 BUX 0.15x 2026-11-08 00:06 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $109 | 90.00% | 7 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Special 2.0% Industrial Grade 12.5% Consumer Grade 60.5% Classified 25.0% best hit $3,884 (35.52x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt