--- title: "Sculptor's Dream case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sculptor's Dream ($109.19) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eec rendered: 2026-11-12T06:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Sculptor's Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eec) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Sculptor's Dream A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eec?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eec?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eec) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eec?window=all) Price · $109.19 · 181,903 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $98.27 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 18.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eec?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eec?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eec) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eec?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Zirconium Zenith Ziggurat other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/zirconium-zenith-ziggurat) | 1 in 200 | $5,000 8,330,000 BUX | 25.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rock Of Jade (Silica Mineral) other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/rock-of-jade-silica-mineral) | 1 in 40 | $2,074 3,455,652 BUX | 52.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Antique Uranium Marble Set (Uranium) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/antique-uranium-marble-set-uranium) | 10.0% | $140 233,240 BUX | 14.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Pendant (Pearl) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pendant-pearl) | 12.5% | $35.00 58,310 BUX | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sarcophagus (Silver) other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sarcophagus-silver) | 15.0% | $13.40 22,324 BUX | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Lots Of Parts of Marble (Rock) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-parts-of-marble-rock) | 17.5% | $4.71 7,844 BUX | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Moonstone Marble other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/moonstone-marble) | 21.0% | $0.70 1,166 BUX | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Excerpts Of Marble (Rock) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/excerpts-of-marble-rock) | 21.0% | $0.26 440 BUX | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eec) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $109 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Special 0.5% Covert 2.5% Industrial Grade 25.0% Consumer Grade 33.5% Mil Spec Grade 38.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt