--- title: "Whimsical Wonders case on 500 Casino: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Whimsical Wonders ($95.06) on 500 Casino, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 146.69% over 20 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eee rendered: 2026-11-12T05:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) / [Whimsical Wonders](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eee) # [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/500-casino) · Whimsical Wonders A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eee?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eee?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eee) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eee?window=all) Price · $95.06 · 158,363 BUX Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $85.55 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 146.69% · 20 openings, odds method Variance · 111.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 20 openings · below min 30 days · 20 openings · below min since tracking started · 20 openings · below min -0.5% 693.8% 1388.0% **Small sample.** 20 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eee?window=24h) | 4 | 352.42% ±1035.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eee?window=7d) | 20 | 146.69% ±462.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eee) | 20 | 146.69% ±462.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/500-casino/6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eee?window=all) | 20 | 146.69% ±462.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Tourmaline Tablet other · Exceedingly Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tourmaline-tablet) | 1 in 1,250 | $35K 58,310,000 BUX | 32.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Halo of Hyperion (Heliodor) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-of-hyperion-heliodor) | 1 in 34 | $1,000 1,666,000 BUX | 34.1% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [Titan Totem (Titanium) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/titan-totem-titanium) | 1 in 15 | $300 499,800 BUX | 22.8% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.54× | | [Zen Garden (Zirconium) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/zen-garden-zirconium) | 12.0% | $28.00 46,648 BUX | 3.9% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× | | [Knuckles (Brass) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/knuckles-brass) | 13.0% | $12.00 19,992 BUX | 1.8% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.15× | | [Lots Of Coins Of Iridium (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-iridium-metal) | 15.0% | $8.96 14,925 BUX | 1.6% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.67× | | [Soldier Toy (Lead) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/soldier-toy-lead) | 15.5% | $7.00 11,662 BUX | 1.3% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× | | [Wooden Toy Car other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/wooden-toy-car) | 16.0% | $6.25 10,413 BUX | 1.2% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× | | [Coins Of Osmium (Metal) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/coins-of-osmium-metal) | 19.0% | $2.64 4,400 BUX | 0.6% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.53× | Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `500-casino:cases/list`, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Halo of Hyperion (Heliodor) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-of-hyperion-heliodor) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $95.06 158,363 BUX $1,000 1,666,000 BUX 10.52x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Halo of Hyperion (Heliodor) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-of-hyperion-heliodor) Hidden $95.06 158,363 BUX $1,000 1,666,000 BUX 10.52x 2026-11-09 00:01 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=500-casino&case=6617ee4702ecb2b8af8a9eee) [Titan Totem (Titanium) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/titan-totem-titanium) Hidden $95.06 158,363 BUX $300 499,800 BUX 3.16x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Zen Garden (Zirconium) other · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/zen-garden-zirconium) Hidden $95.06 158,363 BUX $28.00 46,648 BUX 0.29x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Knuckles (Brass) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/knuckles-brass) Hidden $95.06 158,363 BUX $12.00 19,992 BUX 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Halo of Hyperion (Heliodor) other · Special](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-of-hyperion-heliodor) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $95.06 158,363 BUX $1,000 1,666,000 BUX 10.52x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Lots Of Coins Of Iridium (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-iridium-metal) Hidden $95.06 158,363 BUX $8.96 14,925 BUX 0.09x 2026-11-10 06:55 UTC [Knuckles (Brass) other · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/knuckles-brass) Hidden $95.06 158,363 BUX $12.00 19,992 BUX 0.13x 2026-11-10 06:55 UTC [Coins Of Osmium (Metal) other · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/coins-of-osmium-metal) Hidden $95.06 158,363 BUX $2.64 4,400 BUX 0.03x 2026-11-10 06:55 UTC [Lots Of Coins Of Iridium (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-iridium-metal) [Paper Bag](https://gambatracker.com/players/500-casino/Paper%20Bag) $95.06 158,363 BUX $8.96 14,925 BUX 0.09x 2026-11-10 06:55 UTC [Lots Of Coins Of Iridium (Metal) other · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/lots-of-coins-of-iridium-metal) Hidden $95.06 158,363 BUX $8.96 14,925 BUX 0.09x 2026-11-09 21:42 UTC [Wooden Toy Car other · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/wooden-toy-car) Hidden $95.06 158,363 BUX $6.25 10,413 BUX 0.07x 2026-11-09 21:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 22:26 UTC | $95.06 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Exceedingly Rare 0.1% Special 9.4% Consumer Grade 12.0% Restricted 13.0% Mil Spec Grade 30.5% Industrial Grade 16.0% Classified 19.0% best hit $1,000 (10.52x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt